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[虚拟币交流] 比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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1#
随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。. l# c5 D! o7 h; l: A& w0 u% y" f
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
* \+ W; x3 Q% m+ |- D比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。0 u. @1 s( ]$ D! l5 n- j

! L2 }- ?1 `9 g3 B) d, ]$ ]/ k接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。2 P. e2 ?! C6 B  s8 _8 `, O* ?) M

+ ?9 g9 S* R% Q/ U6 o链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。; m6 m) ~4 |! T* |1 W

4 U2 Z. y# _* |+ I+ k5 M5 b随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？/ i- W( ^( W* T* h0 [
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市场信心[激增]？% x5 v0 h& c# P+ L4 h9 e. L3 h
根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
1 L1 l4 ~* H* M0 a  R+ F6 K' j" O# n5 [  r9 R7 {6 s7 _
2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
" R$ {) b; [7 \( J& m! _$ v/ X: B
. @5 h6 b/ Q" O0 m) k/ o- Y! L  L随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。- ?- `+ H8 N$ ~! l

' V1 ^$ W5 i; _, S9 |超级持有者已暂停
- }7 n1 _2 n- k. k5 {9 P7 i尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。/ E$ C  C! p5 @, \. w
5 Y" E7 k4 @# T- ]' _' I  T
根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。
  O0 u3 i) s  m) D" Y* N; J% A0 B3 S! d$ e" u* f) P
相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。% r+ F& Z; U$ p

+ o# `! K& s( R; n1 y5 e0 v0 o即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。. L- t) v; T) C* a

4 J7 c; W  L9 y  r/ G比特币显示出疲软迹象
* W+ T- b* l$ e; p% ]. K* j  P0 JRSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。% Y% r7 ~6 p) G! m3 ~  l
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此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。0 ^5 _! B. z5 T3 D( F6 F

; B  d( d. x, r9 m尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。
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如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。* Y. g9 I4 I$ \0 V
' n) h* u1 {0 W9 F+ T

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2#
这个会反弹也是很正常的了。

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3#
价格的问题不太好说的啊.

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4#
这个希望还是相当的大的啊。

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
现在难道不是新高吗？怎么会这样的问呢

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6#
有可能的啊，还是会有反弹了

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7#
这个会反弹也是不好说的呀。

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8#
再次闪烁的也是有可能会反弹了

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