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[lastpost] => 2750023 电动汽车公司 Volcon 注入 5 亿美元资金加入比特币资金潮（转） 1752769605 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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' q+ B/ Z% p3 C0 z 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。* E# c$ |" o" p$ F* `8 B/ W
1 t3 f9 S) M ]: n# J& j" m 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。& Z, X1 @, A$ A* x" _0 d7 x
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0 `6 j4 Y: ?% C! G# B( g 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。6 f% q1 u* t3 r# ]) M
8 t ]2 p: v6 [# F$ ? 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。. W- }. y* }! j) j z
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。7 Q# ~: }2 f! e( M/ C
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1 i, W# N6 H2 T0 A, p6 M* h4 e+ e 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。/ {8 V# ^* }* r* ^7 Z3 P* ]
5 \ u6 P1 D% G/ ?# ]. `4 w 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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/ ?% w5 N5 o* p8 q价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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# W; e9 h9 u* x* T2 P& i4 x “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间! \8 K7 q, A* x0 A
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”3 p! l: D% z" P8 Z3 M% d. |2 |- r/ r. |
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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" c5 g/ q( S2 {+ _2 g& T积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”' A/ Q1 D. Z+ q) V" C9 O
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1 X0 J6 `( i/ r) e" _/ a* T 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。2 t2 o8 C+ R0 p7 p+ u
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。4 L ~* F. x& L/ [' Y# y# S2 c( m% T
. E* S) j: h: Q1 { 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势; Z4 q& E: W7 I7 P9 r/ S
1 f4 ~8 p( d# F 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。0 ~0 y- _8 j- l7 x! `+ s% @
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- h& y* N9 w6 O 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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9 \( ]8 g2 J# g/ h: D% a市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。” ?0 _! o, J0 b/ |, u J
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