×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯，数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 27709
[posts] => 445295
[todayposts] => 1075
[yesterdayposts] => 557
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2764777 瑞财经：稳定币亮剑，金融业巨变 1757601498 ouliangzhong
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
[虚拟币资讯]
冷风说币：跌势放缓 反弹能否继续 2022.06.15
[复制链接]
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
|
|
市场消息* e1 Q) h3 j3 F, q' @: f. m9 N
至北京时间6月14日18时30分，加密货币的总市值约为9820亿美元。去年11月，加密货币总市值曾超过3万亿美元。
/ `4 A/ ]# M, i5 @( G/ m我们从牛市来到熊市，一切逻辑都变了，利好不再是利好，利空会在熊市被无限的放大。全球市场。除了原油，基本都是一个下挫的状态，黄金，欧股，美股，亚太市场无一例外。 3 h* r& j$ `& _! a" ~
再看加密货币市场，大饼四天时间就从3W直接搞到2.1的位置。加密货币总市值与去年最高值相比，直接缩水三分之二还多。
0 a# y. m7 F4 {' h5 |/ ?' H! C不过有一点与以往不同的现象是，现在有一些山寨的跌幅，比主流还小。大饼，ETH这些玩意反倒成为山寨的跌幅。看看老的POW碧，BCH这些玩意跌回2020年312的价格。活脱脱一些东西，就成了EOS。
* f/ \( b- T+ m; [4 E2 u这个市场有意思的地方就是，上涨的时候，没有上限，能拉到让你突破认知。下跌的时候，可以超预期，跌到让你怀疑这个圈子。没有什么是不可能的，既然油价两年从负数拉到120，那么比特币从6万多美元跌破2万，似乎也没什么值得大惊小怪。 9 t) R/ h( d$ ^' w
美国5月通胀数据快于预期，再次引发了市场对美联储大幅加息的担忧，对美联储周三的加息预测从50个基点的普遍估计现今已调升为75个基点。
& B1 m4 _: t% y0 B! F0 y7 Z1 b接下来还是关注FOMC会议，毕竟美联储才是市场涨跌背后那只“看不见”的手，风险已经释放了一周，市场也应该有一个缓冲的时间。
9 O: V( v( |* m' w5 Z' a行情分析& e& O/ k, P3 D L m8 w! T c. P
BTC短线支撑19000-21000美元，短线压力23500-24500美元。冷风昨日强调19800美元的重要性，因为250周均线，250月均线和币市2017-2018年第一次大牛的底部都在这个位置，我们暂且不管未来会跌到什么位置，至少这个位置会有很强的支撑。 & E$ i8 o2 ` E
今天冷风的观点有二个，一是大饼正在从探底期向筑底期转换，按照历史的经验来看，阶段性底部要在3-4个月完成，中期底5-8个月，长期的底会长达1.5-2年。因此大家不要想着速胜，同样也不要悲观。二是底部是一个区间而不是一个点，个人认为19000-21000美元可能成为底部的概率偏大。那么怎么判断底部的出现了？一个重要的特征就出现一根放量的带有长下引线的锤子线，然后未来很长一段时间在这区间运行。昨日的收线部分符合这个特征，接下来看还会有没有新低了，没有新低更好，有新低也不怕，但不能低的太多。 , ]7 [* K/ ^4 F: J8 v1 t3 Z4 f4 J
因此，操作上趋势性空单减仓，短线空单带好止损。左侧交易现货可以小仓位回补，短线多单带好止损，趋势性多单还要再等一下。另外今天是加息的日子，最好等消息明确了再操作为好。
2 g2 V [8 A* e; M4 D5 s6 U g$ v日k收出带影线的小阴k，下跌趋势有所放缓。4小时k线并没有上破10均线，短线行情依旧偏弱。不排除行情继续下探。多单操作要小心谨慎。短线上关注22500-23000压力区间。可以在这一压力带做空。若突破站稳23000，短线上应该会走出一波反弹，上方压力24000附近。
+ ^: s1 u) D: \3 c7 s
: R9 `5 p' K$ l& f1 q" _: j
ETH短线支撑900-1100美元，短线压力1300-1400美元。走势整体弱于大饼，在熊市中成为了鸡胁，论稳定性不如大饼，论价格弹性不如山寨，因此还是少配置为好。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。 2 [: @) \1 O9 {) ?, b8 k
空头方向仍在延续，但昨天日k收出十字星，跌势有放缓迹象。4小时级别有上破10均线，但k线走出区间震荡走势（1150-1270），短线下一步走势要看区间是选择上破还是下破。短线压力：1270-1300 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
