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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，
* ~+ m8 L/ w% |9 o: |+ h+ A但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！0 o! T. ] ?) H% f# @- k$ A
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1 U- O3 f6 M6 W( Z6 w; [' O& B- L6 g在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以
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5 r( K/ s5 g: E, N" z7 E短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。
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一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。: J6 w& Y+ q% s( B9 V! p' e9 z! v
! @$ R% D3 Q! O6 Q6 l' z我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，
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& T. }- ?. u; s9 {7 k7 h7 p9 M/ V一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。
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' S0 D3 ?, a. W8 u9 D- ?山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，* a$ c7 n1 A) c- K5 h5 Y# W
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在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最) m( ]- L& P$ ?/ N
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高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。; C! U' m0 ]0 T0 k( r9 e! E K: s( q
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目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是
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1 p3 j+ j: }% Y: f' _( O, J* P离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。
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总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：
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' o; `# [8 q( ~! x5 u1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。6 @0 e" E) `. |. X/ O9 q& l
+ A8 r5 _( v" V2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。
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) [1 H; q2 z# M4 g, S. K3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态9 x. [1 d) {+ T. a
! s+ j7 ]% ]! A# x4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。: D! \7 y+ C, f4 ?9 F! C
! s. V, k# V$ T+ \ Y5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE( A0 P3 l7 o) M, J) C- s! G. H9 Y
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