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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
+ |+ t* @( d: l) P行情补充、 ; \5 C* E; A6 f4 K; x+ L/ O
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
* y0 `: l6 X! N/ Z* r. v; o' Q市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
% B; X+ u+ C8 I3 Q- ?关于疑问、一一回复。
) d+ j1 m- V$ f; z" l今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 5 B+ M8 U+ l% [3 V9 I, {
* U$ }- z$ R& b! I首先就个人的主观来说、 8 ^, c3 n5 W: M
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 6 i8 L9 e/ ?% d9 k" f
极度憧憬市场的未来！ 6 t6 k9 G" m& C) D
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
7 x! e1 g6 F' ]- y& a8 R: z最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
^6 R1 R4 S2 r3 A' @4 s+ V. e, J而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
# E4 w3 b2 k6 F. d4 F" F会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
5 u8 B' }( \) [4 U: W转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
" n2 x& h* @: a其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 / O0 A+ v/ a8 j: H9 s. V
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
5 {* }+ a0 L e; n% H为什么会跌、 $ L& Z2 h* q' H8 c& @4 Y% N
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 + G+ ~$ L9 s3 p) S# O5 O% J
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 " A( l, X9 s& g: D
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
$ W; z7 d7 d$ L# r! E6 a综上造成的下跌、
) I; V3 C: o* O# k- o6 b) k* Z4 f这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 * E% T; ?. _. E/ ], R7 I6 l' C
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
/ j/ G2 Z9 \2 _ `6 F熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 , a8 P6 Z7 b$ f
来决定行情是否好转。 0 Z2 \, _) L G/ F
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 - P0 P3 ?5 l) _$ g
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
. y! k9 p! ^ o: R2 F短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
% Q; T6 n$ w/ C- V周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 % |8 ~" C% j3 t# Y* G. c
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
% P- l- S" W9 M# w! o看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
' M1 L1 t. F0 y日内大饼反弹、 , |) ]( S; A% F/ Q& j; \
26150高空
6 o0 o. }" C0 b- z3 }4 R1 o26350补仓 ' R( h- L+ E/ n( g) i
26550防守
' f/ \7 _ s6 m& b5 Q# j9 e目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
5 x. N6 x8 Q8 W; J' i& S以太反弹 3 G/ \ I& G0 u
1380高空 5 h% R- w4 v( j* k- J& @: ^+ |
1400补仓
! | L3 f! A, @8 o+ M1420防守
4 t, n5 S2 d: t5 e目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
5 H9 {) D, K4 y* K6 L# w附言、 * O- b5 b2 ~. O4 [8 H" Z$ ?
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
/ x# A& f, Q* I4 O5 w是正常现象， r: D& ] c1 J1 k8 f; x% n
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
. g, z- @" f9 l0 I X6 l对于市场、依旧未来可期。 0 r; ^7 ]: N6 b% W
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
( H+ u6 P/ ~5 s; g上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 D7 U5 H I! _+ ~
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
9 C8 q" ^. { E5 b$ u0 }* i6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
* X( Y) H! ^5 l. Q E, ^* P相信七月公布时，会较理想。
$ e" l( C9 L" I7 @1 W但现阶段，要承受的住。 8 m; c; W; ~) }
最后再强调、现货勿割。
( X" @* h3 `$ Q# b/ J25000的大饼 1300的以太、
+ U6 z9 ` `& E& ]0 W* `" [) E% ~个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
% F$ \6 T" ]- I- ?0 i7 [稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 4 i' w8 y1 Q) B) f/ Z: K
这个市场，
% U/ H- }! ~. M" {3 j7 z3 `消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
! H! I$ q. z1 |; @, F; H+ J1 |最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 0 |' f) r- J! o, y' I3 o
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 " C1 n. M9 x$ V. m4 K0 n0 _
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
0 Q( ?3 s t: M+ f- S; B7 r2 ^% R来源：金色财经 |
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