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[lastpost] => 2764668 比特币大幅回调 此前借加密资产扩张的企业在市场降温后出现抛售潮 1757583153 rainwang
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比特币 [BTC]面临巨大的抛售压力并跌至 2.08 万美元大关，因为它在两天内下跌了 26%。以太坊 [ETH] 的情况更糟，在同一时期录得约 30% 的损失。 3 t6 ]5 t n9 y$ n, q5 O( r
$ ?, y0 H! c1 N[SOL]也受到空头的控制，其价格图表上的结构表明，另一次下跌可能指日可待。如果多头能够收回 32 美元，则可以看到一些喘息的机会，但更可能的结果仍然是 Solana 的进一步损失。 : Q3 f# r$ V6 @& ~1 t$ F: K! N
SOL-4H Y9 S4 L% A) T( x& S) N
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H4市场结构显示出强烈的看跌倾向。自 4 月以来，尽管 SOL 能够在整个 5 月保持在 41 美元的支撑位，但趋势一直在急剧下降。然而，在 6 月，价格跌破该水平，此后重新测试了 45 美元区域作为供应区，并确认 41 美元为阻力位，然后在过去一周迅速下跌。
4 r# o: e3 |; }$ E$ w# k5 L32 美元区域（红色框）也被重新测试为供应区，而 26-27 美元区域已被重新测试为需求区域（青色框）。斐波那契扩展水平显示 27.8 美元可以作为南下的临时支撑。 2 j6 Y8 b; n, k
SOL-1H
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小时图稍微复杂一些。趋势仍然看跌，但由于过去几个小时的交易价格上涨至 32.3 美元，较低的时间框架市场结构被打破。白色虚线是两个可以看到 SOL 在其中建立范围的水平，29.5 美元区域是一个临时需求区域。
6 f0 V. v: t! i, i( N然而，尽管出现了短期看涨突破，但更大的时间框架结构仍然看跌。因此，SOL 很可能会回到 26 美元大关，甚至可能更低。 $ Z" f2 ]( |* I W4 S
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相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 49.7，但如果多头能够守住 29 美元区域，那么 SOL 可能仍然能够再次推向 32 美元。然而，如果收盘价低于青色框，则 SOL 可能会跌至 26 美元。
i) s5 ^: ~2 c& r9 ?4 Q& g随机 RSI 在超买区域形成看跌交叉并走低，而 OBV 在几天前才获得支撑的水平面临阻力。抛售压力可能会迫使 OBV 再次下跌。
( ^- h. D. V. k! @; r结论7 K0 A$ p, l2 n0 D" k9 n+ x
每小时收于 29 美元以下的交易时段可能会提供进入头皮空头头寸的机会，止损略高于 30 美元，止盈为 26.2 美元。然而，如果多头能够捍卫 29 美元区域，那么重新审视 32 美元区域可能会提供做空机会。
* O8 d9 @& \+ e' q0 y8 g$ T. t- O6 N来源：金色财经 |
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