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突破:比特币(BTC)价格风险跌破 21,000 美元 原因如下
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随着熊市收紧,比特币(BTC)价格可能跌破 21,000 美元。价格最近触及 25,135 美元的高点并回撤至 23,243 美元的低点。价格下跌趋势已形成定期看跌背离,短期目标跌至 21,000-20,000 美元。
加密市场恐惧和贪婪指数在短短一周内从 47 跌至 30,一天内从 41 跌至 30。
在抛售中,比特币(BTC)价格可能跌破 21,000 美元
尽管加息和对经济衰退的担忧,比特币(BTC)价格仍然看涨,反弹至 25,000 美元以上。然而,多头正在消退,需要表现出更大的力量来保持价格处于上升趋势。轻微的抛售压力可以抵消上涨趋势,将比特币拉入 21,000-20,000 美元的区间。
此外,最近几周的比特币(BTC)价格趋势在 MVRV 7 天去趋势振荡器中形成了看跌背离模式。这表明 BTC 价格可能跌破 21,000 美元。对价格趋势应用去趋势过滤器有助于通过消除长期价格噪音来识别市场底部和顶部。

比特币(BTC)长期处于下降趋势,特别是自 11 月以来。然而,价格在过去 1 个月内呈上涨趋势。每日时间范围内的下降通道表明 BTC 价格正准备突破该通道,但未能突破 25,000 美元的心理阻力位。

此外,在最近回调至 23,243 美元后,价格趋势似乎发生了变化。比特币现在已经达到一个拐点,它将决定即将到来的价格走势。
20-EMA(红色)确实高于 50-EMA(蓝色)以确认看涨势头。然而,多头未能建立势头,似乎正在消退。20-EMA 可能会再次跌破 50-EMA,这将确认跌破 21,000 美元。
是什么造成了下行压力?
美联储在周三的FOMC 会议上确认有必要继续加息以控制通胀。此外,比特币社会情绪下降,外汇流入增加。
较高水平的利润预订正在造成抛售压力。根据加密货币分析师Micha |
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