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2022.9.1
进入8月下旬后,市场陆续进入高空的主旋律
九月起美联储缩表开启翻倍之旅,达到每月950亿刀,这是实打实的减少了近7000亿的流动性
风险资产再次成为优于美股抛售的资产
目前日k上美股、btc均进入了高空的趋势中
随着近期大宗商品的疲敝,原油基本维持在90刀上下,这意味着老美的8月通胀数据大概率应该是小于等于7月的通胀数据,那么9.21的加息75基点的概率就会有所降低,50点的基数就会有所增加,不排除会继续加息75基点巩固一下压制通胀的态势,如是,那么本年度剩余的11月1日、12月13日的加息大概率就会是50、乃至25,期间原油价格不反弹,维持90刀以下,那么老美的暴力加息基本告一段落,明年就是象征性的加息回笼资金了

回到btc中来,上边有提到日线上已经堕入空头行情
短线4时级别有酝酿反弹动能的底背离若隐若现,还未强势显现,所以抢短线的有待观察
具体判断依据看图中分析

9月整体行情偏高空走势,在没有明确反转信号出现前,尽量高空为主,不做多
本轮下跌没有跟踪的币种的,可以跟踪关注
gal(web3.0,自上线以来还未有大富大贵之强势表现,未来三个月内,定有一次触底、较低位反弹2-3倍的机会出现)
ant(dao龙头、这个概念类似于20年的defi兴起、升华版,接去年牛市今年熊市的一个概念,目前为止近半年的每轮反弹此概念板块都有上佳表现)
crv、near、dydx、theta(自由关注、都一定行业细分优势)
盈利精髓:
1.冲高抛,跳水进,横盘不交易;
2.下手买帀先准备,宁可少进勿多买;
3.高低盘整,先等一等;
4.高位横盘又冲高,抓紧时机赶紧抛;
5.低位横盘再新低,重仓买进好时机。
来源:金色财经 |
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