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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。6 a' n! i. o5 o) H$ L
. Z# q6 i8 o, u由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。; X! u9 O+ B2 k& j- p1 | [
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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; \1 e. j2 J7 [+ z* [1 J. b目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。6 _$ t D2 N4 M* f- E( i: o9 m: L
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。$ S2 L: L; a' {8 K: C. b5 _" o
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。* V) ^' C5 u5 @+ @2 E; g
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; [7 ^- E) @. o# u: a8 V根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。 D, ]3 I5 d* B5 ^) n* a0 E4 N
3 P( B% k1 o- S6 V5 _* ?通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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& K. F1 x3 B. q' U比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
- V* E8 [ X/ Z! Q; TCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。. I3 \5 J! H1 G q4 y) h
{! b7 ~- D+ L: f+ B本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。* |2 l( j/ |! b! C1 ^
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现货交易商调整
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+ e4 u9 i5 m/ l现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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! M0 y2 Q& X. T! \$ ^仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。% J( i$ ?& [" {) u* J. c i
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: `0 Y3 q7 ?3 a/ A如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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