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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。& k' \* ^, g2 O% ~8 C, \1 \
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。. j# U8 _. c' O0 r; ?, a: c9 w
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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& U t$ i6 V; L; I尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。5 W' O/ _) ^& { Z# Q& a
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…* S4 W6 L9 b. S3 z1 y1 I" A' h
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。% \' h9 Z1 ?5 J/ {9 p. x8 _/ I
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但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。) T- c. `* i% A0 T( V
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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; f9 w* T5 k5 x1 O* l" i7 s5 E这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 & h% J0 a: o; X( y' n5 h
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。* k2 x8 A* b2 m! t# I
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突9 q/ p- ~3 J2 L! I( D3 F! e
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。5 q. n5 @0 p. _
- a. U% k" N/ E& O8 v, lPUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 d7 S. }4 g/ ?! V# `: Y, h. z6 U4 M
1 G) V1 `5 f+ ^& \相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。( x- g! O8 D: Q6 g; W3 [. B
* u7 v3 L" t0 r3 t p5 D此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
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5 L' h9 a1 |& e% L$ q, ]7 x" ?) B结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？6 q: n |) M: Y3 X
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 4 L0 {* |$ x7 C* ]$ c$ k9 u
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