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[lastpost] => 2749629 关税、就业、降息预期极限拉扯，BTC劲升9.08%，创历史新高（07.07~07.13）（转） 1752668153 mattf
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。. r0 c& k( O8 v
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。( A/ U" m4 f d1 B
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。$ ^' [6 b2 A1 w6 Z9 M5 G
1 `+ V# o5 a" p# }6 F
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
' X! U- Z7 f- y2 Z8 b& U4 E2 o: x! l, ^- X* j
随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。/ g6 v8 r8 N. {# ~- g2 m; s
7 h I9 E8 J+ z& `, a4 H& t8 Q
牛un云蒙上阴影0 }6 H( p8 _5 [$ h
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。/ p6 j0 `( N8 ?3 ?
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
0 {( `9 O* }, ]% }8 W0 v6 s( ]
6 i4 ~9 w. a& `" t' H8 Y尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
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$ H! y+ \& r* F' V1 r2 U' P& N$ MBTC背后的机构引擎. v2 z( f# A2 }+ I8 Z$ B" S7 [8 R
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。9 U) t9 c2 f( s& ]5 ^& c
& ?5 i# V; V1 I' F" D3 T这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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6 Y0 y% p, _3 _, S/ L机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。( [0 N" {, b/ @- D# K
j# t0 |& r" Y1 [' `" B% y怎么了？) H# x# I( K2 ~" M9 E2 l
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。% E% R/ ^8 n0 J/ S
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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% f3 ]. y* Z# @( U风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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+ h: A2 N, A1 K4 n8 z% d4 Q- {尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。# V# V, j/ u& s8 u, y
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