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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2751286 SpaceX突然挪动价值超1.5亿的比特币,是要抛售?还是只是“打扫钱包”? 1753633882 天策-瑶娥
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BCA Research表示,投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑,而这可能对比特币构成利好。& R" Y. S J& r0 ]4 c' h- ~
i% w$ K& m! A2 y3 M* _# F' X 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出,目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产,并在股票投资中降低对美国
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! N& w1 I3 l2 W+ g2 i* W$ d' t# |市场的权重。原因在于,海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产,担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。# M; H( ~8 F, B$ R
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与此同时,BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围,并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月,BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
( x: a0 a9 M \7 ^! v: d# l' v q8 b: D* r6 v
“短期看空”比特币。$ n& m( l$ f$ ^' F7 y1 Q
) c* e0 a3 g0 r5 ^ “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下,比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道,“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来,活跃交易的比特币在整体已" Z* q7 ]- D% ~3 ~# m9 {
+ |8 H7 k. s) @% M实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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V) u: k U8 O" g' |& d$ B. K1 b 报告还指出,比特币作为“数字黄金”,正越来越像实物黄金那样表现,在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。4 E, Z# e( a5 a1 k
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- G4 j5 A& Z ~1 W* p, X4 t 根据Coin Metrics的数据,自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期,现货黄金上涨了8%,4 a7 k8 m$ s( Z$ P
$ h9 I) d' c- s5 n& g4 W而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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4 d& D$ M: z M/ [% A BCA在报告中进一步指出:“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺,但关税政策的模糊性,已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外,“激烈的" [9 B6 f* D& m V# w" d
1 v, r8 A/ u4 }+ l+ |1 c5 I" |; F利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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0 t( b% w; n: e& ^, { “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛,但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号,才能恢复投资。”报告写道,“若无法及时提供清晰政策," z8 ?% V. d7 s' r, H0 f1 L
0 S E; C! ?. x: i q" _ A+ t将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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