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[lastpost] => 2752118 虚拟币市场周末再次疯狂起来了 1753502390 22301
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。2 z; A9 |+ B7 u- \) J
) d: m* k$ V" f" M' S! I 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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' j- I0 a* X& a4 z3 ]+ }市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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/ z) p/ \- m/ m% r$ @8 {% ~5 U 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而& ~( b0 I8 b' R
/ J3 f$ r7 o: Y“短期看空”比特币。7 H& N) n$ h) Y6 B" f* U L; _
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”8 |8 c5 H" |: y5 N. n! `
8 k1 c! Z7 y% f& _ Q! I 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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4 k- y8 Y u! t. z% C( X 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，9 [6 P3 L0 Z4 h1 j- _9 H
2 z( O8 U: G3 R6 q; L4 `
而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。- y0 \5 [5 _9 m& m0 O2 U
, K9 r9 j1 x1 J4 n5 @ BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的2 V' S5 X b# [% O3 j2 C
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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. L2 |8 V7 N$ a0 I, X! H* M' ], b “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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