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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。/ N \- V. B3 g. w. N
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。/ D7 L' _* W3 H# m! c# [/ `
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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8 S# D. }( c. {- k" e0 o! l/ e, d鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…8 f+ v7 }/ P4 h9 Q0 v. ^
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。* |+ X2 l- r4 Z; b
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但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。' a! ?( A; J/ W4 R% `6 T* D& N; D6 ]
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。& Q; M4 S; _4 d4 G/ s
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。 F6 X' N$ W I4 w1 c& @9 `
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 - [" O* j0 o# c9 S2 {# H3 e
) ? N" d1 Y+ v) a3 ?( s然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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- h K" j# n& B3 I, F! M% b估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突) N+ i0 H! A# t( }7 i$ D/ \
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。# B0 b+ _- G( k" H, H, k
/ U3 W) O6 e9 [# B6 j同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 7 H0 s, j$ ^8 c6 C, d% g
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
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5 i' ?1 E* l; r4 C; Z此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
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! b+ p3 r. T( V2 V2 {如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。) y6 c4 c M( H7 B- s: B
, @; h1 f' w$ \; w0 Q结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。# W( L8 p* D( U( D0 H0 E9 q3 ^
7 i- E8 J6 |/ R" [3 e+ h/ x% RBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
; D5 u+ m9 ?4 s比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 7 W, g/ ?, f! z5 f3 \9 |
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