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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。 _1 s" S6 X9 S; `. R" ^: r* s7 q- S
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
' r: `, N0 {- T特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。
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一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
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进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。
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5 |, F, h! Z, k9 f+ B5 J现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。: S: y1 b5 W w p3 g( k
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但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。
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- g; W# I9 S7 G+ J8 \( z8 yD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？( o! F# ]% h# R
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验
9 S2 T3 R7 F' T2 D90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。
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从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。/ @( n( |$ l) z( X- j
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自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。( M, G/ `6 g5 R' ?7 { o; V
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Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。
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按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。
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不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
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正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
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经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
. D" y" ]! Z3 [- q$ G受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。: }5 u+ [- `. H1 d
7 E `* I6 j7 A$ G$ }, ]$ u7 o针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。7 T, }* b8 Q/ _
2 O5 M( j# K/ [! \( B& K反应如何？迅速而残酷。
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, l8 W' g2 ?/ [5 B: Y0 k: W短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。
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这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。1 G* {& d5 s/ P1 O. S$ t
! O: T: V7 u3 ]2 F随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。' u( ^4 J1 j2 U0 u8 Y
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