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[lastpost] => 2768969 投资机会堪比黄金，稳定币为什么不容错过 1758863357 天策-菱玖
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9 月 25 日，XRP 突破 2.90 美元的涨幅在大量抛售下崩盘，交易量飙升 2.77 亿美元，将价格拉回 2.75 美元。 此举导致过去一周市场价值蒸发逾 180 亿美元，并确认 2.80 美元处出现新的阻力，交易员们准备测试 2.70 美元的支撑位。 ' I3 C$ P( S% E; V- f! K5 L7 u
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# }2 {- Q/ @! W5 ~# ]新闻背景
9 o \" E3 |/ c- j! b9 |! X0 k• 由于机构大量抛售，XRP 在 9 月 25 日至 26 日的交易中下跌 5.83%，从 2.92 美元跌至 2.75 美元。
* p( l& l3 ]$ L6 O# l# y• 17:00 时，价格在 2.80 美元处急剧下跌，引发交易量激增 2.7677 亿 — — 是 24 小时平均值的 2.5 倍多。5 j W0 c4 g+ r4 o* z0 O @
• 尽管美国证券交易委员会批准了首只美国 XRP ETF，但鲍威尔对估值和国债收益率上升的警告抵消了乐观情绪。
1 D: U- ^3 _4 ^# ^3 \" G' \• 过去一周，XRP 市值缩水 189.4 亿美元，跌幅 10.22%，跌破 3.00 美元心理关口。
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价格行为摘要# \3 c6 W, r- Y8 w6 I
XRP 交易价格在 2.92 美元至 2.74 美元之间（盘中波动幅度为 6.3%），最终收于 2.75 美元附近。# m/ ]# @' Q; Z: H E
• 在 2.80 美元的价位因成交量极大而遭到拒绝后，卖方占据主导地位，形成了一个限制进一步上涨的分配区。$ k; d. k. P0 w! }! k, _2 h: Z
• 随后的复苏尝试在 2.81 美元至 2.82 美元左右停滞，证实了新的阻力群。
1 w: `; u4 i1 [4 B2 r6 ~3 c J• 最后一个小时，价格短暂反弹 1.09%，从 2.75 美元上涨至 2.78 美元，主要受 00:50 至 00:57 之间每根蜡烛交易量超过 300 万的集中流量推动。
]6 F' h2 n% p• 目前短期支撑位在 2.75 美元至 2.77 美元，若突破则面临下行风险，跌向 2.70 美元。 技术分析
" j8 X) `$ l5 Y0 w' G' U3 u• 范围：最高 2.92 美元至最低 2.74 美元之间为 0.18 美元（6.3%）。4 @) R- @+ R4 `# p2 A. ^
• 阻力位：2.80 美元的初始阻力位；2.81 美元至 2.82 美元的阻力位在重新测试失败后形成。8 y; Y/ @0 L4 C- k' v
• 支撑位：尾盘交易中捍卫了 2.75 美元区域；接下来关注 2.70 美元心理水平。% J; l4 h4 ^% |$ ~2 w( g
• 交易量：17:00 时为 2.7677 亿，而日均交易量为 1.0842 亿。- I; D) ^) y! m! r( p' f9 H4 H+ b- {) W
• 形态：成交量大幅回落，预示着价格将逐步分散。短期盘整于2.77美元附近，表明市场在下一步行动前仍犹豫不决。
9 u7 W( z; m; k2 c! J交易员们正在关注什么
4 E# I: R9 e% g/ D) m• 亚洲交易时段是否维持 2.75 美元的水平，还是跌向 2.70 美元。$ E2 L7 U. t. a9 i ^3 H& I
• ETF 乐观情绪与实际资金流出——抛售新闻模式仍在发挥作用。) P+ d( ]+ A+ }0 i& ?
• 过去一周，鲸鱼资金已转移 8 亿美元；如果恢复抛售，则将面临定位风险。# Y" y, l" `; A$ A# J
• 宏观风险：鲍威尔的强硬语气、美国国债收益率攀升、美联储降息预期受到限制。
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13386 小时
本月在线: 84 小时
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当前离线
经验:
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总在线: 44 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
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