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网点即开票理论探讨:浅析刮刮乐的发展
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近几年,网点即开型福利彩票(以下简称刮刮乐)在全国得到迅速发展,2011年全国刮刮乐销量首次突破200亿元,成为天朝福利彩票一个强有力的增长点,刮刮乐与中福在线并肩成为天朝福利彩票票种体系中重要的“两翼”。山东刮刮乐近几年发展也非常迅速,2011年全省刮刮乐销量首次突破20亿元,创造了新的里程碑,为山东福彩2011年销量突破百亿元大关做出了重要贡献。4 v; K' G0 [# m$ r/ R7 W, |
但是,刮刮乐的发展潜力有多大,它具有怎样的发展规律,如何才能保证它的持续健康发展,这些问题影响着对刮刮乐的总体定位,也是广大刮刮乐发行销售人员所关心的问题。本文通过分析国内外即开票销售数据和近几年全国刮刮乐销售曲线,结合作者本人的见解,做出了判断,提出了基本的发展思路。
. e$ r7 o4 V/ ~' G0 z7 w* L) `" ?[b]一、 刮刮乐的发展潜力有多大[/b]
; h7 o0 I2 o( D2 R! n+ j 在探讨这个问题前,首先对即开票自身的特点进行分析:, {$ b& V5 x/ v- q% ~( I
第一,即开票存在先天缺陷。首先,从即开票本身来说,它在设计、印制、物流配送以及兑奖等各个环节都需要大量的人力物力,销售成本非常高,这是一种相对落后的生产方式;其次,从彩票属性来说,即开票属于被动型彩票,它不像电脑票那样,彩民可以自由选择号码,即开票彩民只能被动接受已经印制好的成品彩票,这种“纯粹碰运气”式的投注方式会在一定程度上影响彩民投注的积极性。即开票的这种先天缺陷导致的后果是:当电脑票一面世,其市场主导地位便被迅速取代。2 n8 p+ {4 y N; w% I g
第二,即开票具有鲜明特点。即开票虽然存在先天不足,但并非可有可无,它自身具有的鲜明特点使其具备生存的土壤。首先,即开票作为一类票种,有区别于电脑票的特点,比如彩票本身的游戏性,即买即刮的体验性都是很鲜明的,这使它具有特定的彩民群体;其次,被动型彩票本身虽然限制了彩民自由选号的能动性,但这种成品彩票的销售又使它具有灵活销售的特点,既不受时间、地点限制,也无需等待开奖,销售方式更加灵活,渠道空间更加宽广;再次,在彩票品种上,即开票品种设计更加灵活,由于玩法丰富、题材众多,可以随心设计出丰富多样的彩票品种,从而满足不同彩民群体的需求。这些鲜明的特点使即开票具备了生存的土壤,也决定了它的市场地位。
}" R/ h( l0 A- B. J% B. O( ?, h 刮刮乐在本质上属于即开票,通过分析即开票自身的特点,可以对刮刮乐有一个基本的认识,对它在彩票体系中的位置也有一个大约的预见。下面结合国内外彩票销售的相关数据具体分析即开票的发展潜力 |
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