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日本大地震,以及去向未卜的福岛核辐射事件,正令市场对震后日本经济复甦和全球经济受牵连的情况越来越悲观。金融市场先有反应,下一步,对各地实体经济的影响估计亦会呈现。对于澳门的影响,估计亦不仅仅是减少日货供应而已,相信对本地旅游业会有直接和间接的影响。9 a4 O$ ~( k& v! Q: c) |5 R" }; g
日本经济动盪对澳门的更直接影响,首当其冲的自然是近日成为市场焦点的商品贸易。去年全年澳门由日本入口卅八亿元,其中廿六亿元是消费品,这从遍佈全澳门的各种档次日本食肆和各类消费品可证。倘这部分货源无法得到保证,甚至价格上涨,自然会对澳门旅游零售业产生影响。
; Y. q! S7 Q& o 另一方面,去年旅游澳门的日本游客亦有四十一万人次,虽然佔本澳逾二千万游客市场很小比例,但日本游客消费普遍较高。何况日本亦是澳门旅游业近年力拓的旅游市场,无论是吸引日本人来澳门,抑或鼓励澳门人去日本。故一旦日本旅游市场受影响,不但本地旅游零售业会受影响,连带发展中的日本航线或亦难以维持。3 b; m8 R2 Y* j. g# S* H
此外,近年日本赌业中介人在澳门亦颇活跃,日本赌资对部分赌企亦有颇大贡献,尤其是豪赌客。另外,日本资金亦零星进入楼市等领域,一旦日本经济衰退,或多或少会受牵连。 |
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