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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；
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据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元8 V, e* X+ i* W( z$ s, K _
( C% ~% @ \# y, @, W a“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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% K- L- |& N$ ^# P' M, d Y1 e就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；3 z: d: p2 F' w% S/ B; d7 u: Y# G) m% X
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需求上升与风险
6 _* N9 @. A( d! [2 X5 u7 w投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。
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: Q+ U! b! z) i8 c- f, o从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；% F( {' a6 r7 _: m6 ?
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事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。
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3 H* ~) n( F9 p7 k在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；2 W% a9 ^$ ?, p
) p/ u; ^' n. A9 ]' `, w" E因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；7 Y* o& l7 T) p# c& }
2 ~! h/ i2 ]' X. }- |9 X但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；% g& r; N1 U$ f1 H0 `/ [
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。. N/ Z) O C" {# |7 A! T+ }- X
G3 T# g0 o& n5 e9 J8 l根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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& `1 Q- \+ x! _6 Y3 f. B5 y然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。( z, ~0 w% f5 \$ r9 ^2 f0 c; l
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简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ； Z L( r1 B/ r2 O& F2 z4 p
6 l2 ~5 L2 @& O' l) {% o与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）
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