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[lastpost] => 2751397 比特币用于持有；以太坊用于交易。证据如下（转） 1753265425 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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! b2 T1 q' r; b; K/ H' C; c 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。6 E% C; U* f& ~5 {) g
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; R5 Y& R8 ?" s) w% L9 F J 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续% Q- }$ z, z" h- E
" m8 B0 P0 j2 K' ~' \- O Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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2 z0 B9 \" Q @- @7 m& \ 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。/ w. ]# D$ }5 I' n! g1 d( a
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4 B9 j3 \$ T, }2 [0 E 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，- ~/ O7 [7 Z. u+ s
a% {6 o4 H! Y. m9 C. x U价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间& t9 b4 h% T8 K/ a7 l7 g' \8 l
) m: P! R2 \6 B框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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0 V% L( c; p4 ` Z 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。2 \3 b8 m6 W) I/ C4 O
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。, g" k, o/ G* P
. c$ N+ a q' a. @" P 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。: D2 p" f" h' m9 u+ p
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势: e ]% j) A: X# A( y, n& L1 w% i
' A& \) x9 V: G n7 @/ s* n1 z 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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6 [2 g# A s& A X5 G+ O& R, n市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”: h$ l' {$ w5 R
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