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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份5 f" s" r$ m7 O! }0 Z
$ P$ w+ G9 V- C" d5 ~% {+ a报告中特别强调了这一论断。
# z) m* e' E0 ] }, j, \美元抛售推高比特币1 o* }8 {5 J9 e: b4 z1 L0 f
, e9 J- p' d9 PGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以. L" ^; n2 E8 B* E
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来的最低水平。
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% ~* O9 L1 E2 x' b* l0 M“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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# V5 V% R" ~7 k/ f数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。1 C0 E$ y& R9 V- a, \5 D" Q {
5 q: S; Y- b5 ]1 y/ QAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推) O2 n K3 J: V2 N9 l- L8 g
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。1 Y& l8 l+ E; ^% H4 y3 V
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。
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" v1 L: C7 `# v9 C1 m然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，, ~9 Y+ Q; t }5 p
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。" z7 ?7 L$ W- q: T3 r* d( L
$ E% d( k/ c1 t( Y$ ]“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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) a H A9 F8 i9 q3 c0 n( XCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。0 { n% {# @( G* _4 O1 g
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