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[lastpost] => 2751015 才刚欢呼完比特币冲上天，下一秒又说它要掉下来！信清崎？信分析师？还是信自己？ 1753546944 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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}7 b3 |- c8 z; N+ L报告中特别强调了这一论断。+ n2 ?+ ~1 V7 P# w, k' t
美元抛售推高比特币
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' M D3 G# m" l3 wGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以" s& O" \1 {* K8 d! \, T! K
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来的最低水平。3 e1 u% H! V* ~9 ]0 e0 j# F
5 O: R0 D1 j+ o+ n“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指( X# {4 Q% h, a" A3 N$ F
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推" F6 n0 c" ?2 d/ y9 b
6 s& t/ j8 L! M9 W0 s高黄金和比特币的价格。
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) d! d$ X" D1 d6 k下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化# Z% u; L* i7 r0 l$ T. [! r" x9 o2 e- {( X
Z* s; A* s4 b剂。/ i% J z7 A" A; R5 A+ R8 W
. u7 S5 D/ c* y" @& g$ {* P" ~这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破/ v& l! J# Q, J: g& ?0 v1 @
. R K$ x3 J- j2 o了8.7万美元。3 Z& c6 i* {7 l: Z, ?. F
6 k1 @6 ]( v. r/ q, B, X& I9 Q然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，6 Y8 I e) r. f& R
3 x* n" g! E0 K' {: ?* b$ K“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”- F i0 N. m9 ^, U5 G1 c
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。! _6 N( v$ ^2 T1 @9 A0 |
" B5 z6 M* [ Z“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”# Z3 K/ v: M: O0 a z
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。- M; l2 w0 x; g/ L
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