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[lastpost] => 2750705 比特币成“救国神器”？英财政部想靠72亿美元加密资产填财政缺口 1753374021 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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6 M( J; k! F$ H2 ]" @+ R) W$ x报告中特别强调了这一论断。
; m3 O1 w' L$ S! `美元抛售推高比特币: ^1 P; N) u! S& K
6 t( l" m" N9 a1 Z8 OGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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& D1 ~4 a1 o3 H* G来的最低水平。% C* \' K( H3 V$ a$ e7 K
8 j D/ E% C2 Y* n“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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) O7 @' w$ M M; k6 W根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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' E0 j; h; z) O6 z数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。. @9 k4 c# Y( x8 [# i/ G2 q
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。# {5 U: }! K9 A) c! h6 a
# h6 r& W ~- f" V; a下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化6 W) L5 C' g7 O9 ~- m; y
3 `2 t6 K; R: Q0 H. H剂。, ~0 j- f4 s$ p8 w# M7 y
% Y5 k7 y7 ~9 z, l$ A0 w2 n这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。* v# {" j' l; o" z, g8 R7 s% j
( [9 d* G1 v. J' o这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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3 t+ m5 O2 Z9 C; }, z; U# D" e了8.7万美元。
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9 Y6 h* o' F6 k% y然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，8 T- m! a; I, v2 B+ B; M# g
0 ^6 C( f" e" e“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”+ v+ ]: V9 d# s r
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$ W; e: l& Z/ O/ Q分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。1 X" `3 I- }; `1 \7 l
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”: \' C; g2 @1 p
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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, B$ d+ l* K- z! b0 f易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。2 _$ v O9 H! E% S5 d& j) M" U" q
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