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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。2 J, c4 _9 r. X
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。" S5 G2 T9 c+ m( S& r6 ?
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。& v* |8 Q' L" b/ H
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一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
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" A# M% I* t9 J2 z# F" e进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。( e/ M; w* T* S, J) u( q
! Z$ {5 Y1 i4 r现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。+ a# [8 ?4 ^) z* u
; j( a* J, d+ `" p# k' e! E( U但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。+ P6 ?5 g" t v, d, V+ v$ D9 z# I) m
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D这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？) }: G6 a' j5 n7 z
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验3 y7 e8 ?7 ^, K2 K2 ^% k8 g
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。
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从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。, X% ?3 m# D6 f3 k6 R( P
4 _7 z$ U& t" Z S4 j3 @4 I自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。; D5 ] n2 k8 d2 C+ p
|7 Q8 w" f2 z. e9 q2 e/ o/ V6 l2 m' [Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。9 ]2 C# {" M8 c" n
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按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。- h+ r/ y5 g: `2 V/ y m
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不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
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0 p. Y2 D% ~* B' {1 `6 r5 l正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。# D* _0 x0 g) b: n1 R; }
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经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
* N4 A6 x$ i4 h受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。# @# [3 m, M: d: P0 \; p6 \
/ G, ? \7 C" P& t" r* X针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。8 j$ ] E# E, _( u$ Z0 }6 b/ U* N7 \
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反应如何？迅速而残酷。 R) Z- t; q5 M: o" b. @
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短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。0 h3 a" z) t3 @" O
& k7 Q" R7 H, q' m, e6 \这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。) s. U- |' N. e+ t3 O* c; Q
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随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。3 L6 y+ Z1 N6 S( @0 x, [0 }
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