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[lastpost] => 2344055 【天策2020双旦嘉年华】，万元大金矿，联合【众鑫娱乐】寻找挖金手（开奖帖） 1610638563 女人爱足球
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在豪强林立的世界杯上，许多比赛不到最后一刻，谁也无法预测最终结果，在赛事开始阶段就预测决赛队伍和冠军归属自然更加不易，1 传统强队值得信赖 F" {8 b4 A4 Q1 {' }2 r
" Y$ ^0 o3 `1 a. {2 ]1 T X$ b 杀进世界杯决赛不仅需要绝对实力，还要有深厚的底蕴，及各种历史荣誉堆砌起来的强大自信和心理优势。翻开历史，近十届世界杯只有6支队伍进过决赛，其中5支队伍夺得过冠军，唯一没夺冠的是克鲁伊夫时代的“无冕之王”荷兰队。因此，在竞猜冠军和冠亚军时，追捧传统强队是最明智的选择。" Z0 W8 [; v+ Y
. R M1 t d; R. c" Y. G- H% \4 L) O( v 本届世界杯有望杀入决赛并夺冠的10大热门球队依次为：西班牙、巴西、英格兰、阿根廷、意大利、荷兰、法国、葡萄牙、科特迪瓦，预计决赛队伍不会在这10支球队之外。
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: p; d% `% l6 \, C' C( f V 2 充分考虑赛程难度* s4 S" Y! C# z7 ~) W0 L
+ a2 x. \/ S) `8 I. R 一支队伍的赛程对最终夺冠的影响很大，先易后难，相对轻松的赛程是夺冠的必要条件。巴西和西班牙是本届世界杯夺冠的两大热门，但其赛程却不容乐观，巴西被分入了死亡小组，将面对葡萄牙、科特迪瓦的强有力挑战，八强和四强战中也很有可能遭遇荷兰、英格兰等强队；西班牙虽然小组出线难度不大，但小组出线后很可能面对葡萄牙、意大利两大克星，晋级四强之路相当坎坷，年轻的西班牙队能否禁受住世界杯这种大场面的考验还有待验证。而英格兰、阿根廷的两队的赛事则比较有利，小组出线比较轻松，进军半决赛之前不会碰到太强的对手。
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5 E1 D. y" l% b3 g" O 3 注意上下半区划分6 b" T1 F* V" ^, \% ~
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竞猜冠亚军必须分清上下半区，因为同半区球队不可能同时进决赛。按本届世界杯赛制，小组赛之后，每个小组的前两名将进入不同半区：A1、B2、C1、D2、E1、F2、G1、H2被分在上半区，A2、B1、C2、D1、E2、F1、G2、H1组成下半区；如果各小组种子队能顺利夺得小组第一的话，那么法国、英格兰、荷兰、巴西将守在上半区，而下半区则汇聚了阿根廷、德国、意大利、葡萄牙、西班牙等强队。因此，“西班牙-巴西”、“巴西-阿根廷”、“西班牙-英格兰”、“英格兰-阿根廷”也就顺理成章地成为冠亚军竞猜的四大热门选项。5 A' r& K8 j& y+ _( O
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小组首名竞猜2 a5 _$ s& P; c0 d4 y) {9 H
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投注关键：需防冷门+ S; c0 l) o' X h4 {8 k* y3 m
7 v& }3 y3 n% |' R+ g5 @ 本届世界杯强队分布非常均衡，每个小组都有一支实力超群的队伍镇守，小组首名的归属看似比较明朗。但仔细研究不难发现，均衡的背后也暗藏杀机，在8个小组中，只有阿根廷、英格兰、西班牙夺取小组首名相对轻松，其他五个小组中都有能把种子队拉下马的劲旅，因此，在预测小组头名时要综合考虑以下因素：
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( W) {; R) C& S' N& L5 v8 m 1 实力为先
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实力是战绩的根本，按各支球队的综合实力，八个小组首名的推荐球队分别为：A组：首选法国，次选乌拉圭；B组：首选阿根廷，次选希腊；C组：首选英格兰，次选美国；D组：首选德国，次选塞尔维亚；E组：首选荷兰，次选丹麦；F组：首选意大利，次选巴拉圭；G组首选巴西，次选葡萄牙；H组：首选西班牙，次选智利，这一选择方案回避了大冷门，可以最大限度求稳。3 I3 @& v0 X' s# [ A4 I! o
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争夺小组第一的形势可能相当复杂，甚至会出现两、三支球队积分相同的情况。按照本届世界杯赛制，如果出现两队以上积分相同，首先看彼此对战成绩，其次看净胜球，再次看进球数，最后视情况采取抽签或附加赛来决定排名。彩民在评估小组形势时，一定要充分了解赛制，避免乌龙。
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) ^& _6 B$ d Y! A9 k3 Z B3 f. R 3 关注16强对阵形势
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* b( b7 S! `' u' S 小组赛打到最后一轮，出线无忧的球队就要考虑十六强淘汰赛的对手，为了在十六强淘汰赛中避开强队，某些球队可能放弃争夺小组第一。相反，如果某一小组的强队表现优异，稳得小组第一，那么与之进行交叉淘汰赛的小组必然也会拼尽全力争第一，避免提前遭遇劲敌 |
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