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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 2 {5 }1 F" K( d. q
5 |& ]+ g. k1 ~5 d+ {8 d$ T! F2 q% d5. 废话的不对称原则
7 u6 p) K8 {$ @- e* h% C反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
) w* I) s) ?/ S& p, X4 o, e1 |) i; {" N5 X, e3 A q" V2 J! P. W
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。# T9 E( i- {' }
8 \9 v' j/ |( Y- J5 x* G; D5 H
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。5 |' c& A b6 ^8 M: u2 k4 s: ~( x
- C( ^" l" l& r" O" b- X$ o; J每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
6 \$ q% i, @7 \$ K' }5 q/ Y) h1 k- Z3 e) s
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。, f* [1 a. m/ [, k
) U& {% s9 T! T( [# G+ I7 w
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
, T3 l/ {# t$ {- x5 I, m: D+ |" E被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
) Z' _# I p/ N2 ^7 y) Y1 f. L; A7 p* M
1 _3 y! @/ q" G. \不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
7 G1 A+ X, F0 ~3 e: q
5 x G7 c2 G! j4 x' N0 R因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。: I$ K1 J# v5 m& W, u
; H2 W- {- |" R- m
想象一下罕见事件:
/ q4 Z: x( X9 l ]
) V, ^, Y6 D7 X3 Q9 `5 h/ f0 x• 中本聪的钱包苏醒: m# b- n4 H5 b. L* t
I" A9 q6 W+ w. I+ O( b3 R/ E1 S1 x
• 核打击. d" I$ V2 U/ q; q; w
3 h" s8 c/ W4 D0 `5 P& d: S& G
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响! H. N! u O: i+ }0 b
% D. p$ h! V1 l+ X9 H5 ]8 z/ i
7.二八定律( D4 H4 m) B4 w1 [! |/ B
在币圈:
/ |$ E6 P7 P3 s' @. h9 ?! O" x9 f1 ?( Z/ C7 E
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。/ h/ j T. r C9 e
# L5 \4 b0 A5 i% p80%的利润被20%的人拿走。# O8 i( a* `! C o6 L
2 t0 g' D( o& Q- v我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
, K4 u7 P' H, k4 {
5 l" _/ n7 @4 E8.网络效应% u" ~ r7 u# Q o! O; E3 k
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
4 ]$ q4 F' u% J0 q: f( w; f* L6 C W; C# }) D& \( D9 j
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?: a5 K. U t3 c0 v% f8 m
; q) Y m. f' j0 c9 }6 s一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。% s) m& f) O! A, n
" i$ r7 E! X% l Q
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。9 [9 G) k* T8 @" W. w5 G
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