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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测(转)
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元,专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份8 z0 u" Q2 c0 f8 y& p, p6 J, e
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
5 t' t; D$ }2 e4 P美元抛售推高比特币7 s' \9 V9 @% P6 i
& @0 J) R1 ]8 M" X7 h, ~$ a5 X
Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上,Dragosch补充说,美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以7 e3 _! A% R E1 f. |; |
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来的最低水平。
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2 B( g: E2 c! Y. N7 ?# U$ A: x“看起来,比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图,比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此,在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下,美元指
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数走弱(从100美元跌至97美元),从而推动了加密货币的上涨。2 f9 ^. f+ k5 \& ?# U& z6 l
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道,特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”,而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道,这将推5 X2 S4 ~( q' S4 b4 s# M/ o
1 ^, j- x, B$ a0 I J5 S高黄金和比特币的价格。( {+ L7 M! R- ]7 Z0 Y, |/ ^
5 Y& t; E" v; K3 e' M下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布,多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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这里值得指出的是,黄金价格在周一再创历史新高(ATH),这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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* |& h m- V7 [$ P这意味着,在关税不确定性的背景下,投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币(BTC)作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破1 Z: A! A) J1 B1 V6 Q: U
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了8.7万美元。+ y; ]$ u( [' s, f7 n: d
! U( \; O v7 g& ?然而,BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的,需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称,
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“突破不错,但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何,你现在还不应该太兴奋。”- n7 L/ G6 ]1 _
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! u/ ?$ |8 j1 |分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示,比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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Y$ \ P" H: B' _“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元,创造并确认更高的高点,并确认下行趋势的结束。”2 m+ F. T4 S' I& b& Y& ?2 ?& L
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景,指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调,而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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