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[lastpost] => 2758624 如果BTC财库公司选择抛售，市场会陷入「死亡螺旋」吗？（转） 1755765021 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。+ k7 C4 M! u" l1 s9 s8 G- d
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。- a) V) I% O+ t* t
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。( T9 ?; J+ K* v$ Q6 C `8 m
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一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。1 N' K2 O) J6 _% `( p( K
& F# n; H: n# J' m7 z进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。
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现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。
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但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。 b7 C; |7 A, ?' |1 `0 a
6 j d! w, g8 Y' lD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？" d$ U* E( f D" F
" [5 Q! ?0 B& v8 N, t比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验
) s0 U" K7 x* v5 Q' J/ w90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。
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' L2 x& v( b% ^( \$ Y, `4 k从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。% g* a, E( ?8 x0 z3 G
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自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。) R& h3 s. X: p) Z6 }1 t
1 M# h+ g: w' Y' a1 b( WGlassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。" e4 P! V- N r" `# y
6 N4 A! u' t" q* i D按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。! h( h/ x& k# r, R" U$ X
* v$ ~" e' p2 z5 X* ]不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。! K% U' S4 D$ ]3 F1 Y
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正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
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% T. ]9 b4 c, F: p+ q* w; _经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现, Y. P6 u# `: k- s
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。$ o. n, _2 D8 v7 ^1 {6 x
5 h8 r+ N. U- k* _反应如何？迅速而残酷。
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4 ? h- d2 P0 c1 _' Y短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。. G, S3 k" B" H( T% V- t
1 @, N- r E' Q; t' F: V9 L这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。" u) H" t' a& j: v0 M) t
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随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。
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