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[lastpost] => 2755044 比特币稳定在 114,000 美元 – 但有一个关键指标值得谨慎！（转） 1754571722 不傻不成气候
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？6 q: C) v6 R' w
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以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。6 g t; s8 r t {, `
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目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。" x6 s+ [+ f* F0 k, o! A, G# P% Z
3 M# T2 P7 `0 A" M4 ]3 ]* \6 m对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易2 B( h' l* B! z2 o
但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。6 f. a0 p8 J4 X. Z
% {, F9 Z. M, t8 b8 i' M这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。: U5 q. t& g6 s
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事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。
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+ T( Y; D8 l. Q f1 X- l此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。% q- b C2 P5 q' ~+ q. ?# o
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同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。
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2 ?, J- z3 N9 X$ e+ w1 G) C$ XETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此) l8 B& \7 g; N8 C! `5 Q
事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。
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与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。
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难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。. s- N0 R! J3 N3 I/ \* R5 p0 d
% p7 b% A1 d5 i) ^/ _$ J现货需求也受到追捧$ f( B* h F V8 [+ L* _7 b3 r l
但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。" m3 x/ L, }& `9 E
x9 f" C1 \, W: G' d4 t, v. ]! d- o事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。2 w. @4 V7 p) J! L. q, |9 f
" }8 l: | u; |2 m0 LCoinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,
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% M1 Q9 D" n3 k$ _ n$ {“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”% U' H/ r \0 b' W0 z9 R8 R U
! y& c$ o6 n5 K" T5 `; a* \这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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