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[虚拟币交流]
比特币将大涨？巨鲸再转2.8亿USDT进交易所（4日转）
[复制链接]
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比特币在昨(3)日晚间突发数个月来最严重的暴跌灾情，从45,000美元上方急挫至
) G5 [; Y v* v; n% d, A2 ]9 u40,750美元，最大跌幅逼近10%，导致全网爆仓超过6亿美元。截稿前BTC已回调至43,088美元，24小时跌幅缩+ Z [7 q+ ~7 G5 O/ Y
小至4.5%。, C9 W3 O; O) u0 O
分析师：小牛发动机将2.82亿USDT转入CEX# M( Z1 h4 U1 T' w/ J- h
昨日的急杀让比特币一度挫低至12月中旬以来的最低点，但值得注意的是，一个神秘巨鲸地址今(4)日清晨再度出
. S6 W" u6 ]" w6 _5 |手，链上分析帐号小河(@RiverBTC2009)发推指出，被他称为「小牛发动机』的神秘地址( e3 l) v T; a& R! V, @7 Q
(0x1dbbbc3fdb2c4fabd28fd9b84ed99ceb84bfbec5)，在1月2日从Tether获得6,000万枚USDT，隔日再获得, g8 i9 O! b1 K6 ~
2.22亿枚USDT并汇入交易所。/ y( I+ {2 P7 V) F/ m( r" p0 Q9 s
“该地址已将这2.82亿枚USDT再度转入Coinbase、Kraken、Bitgo等交易所。截至目前，该神秘地址已累计将
4 p0 \' p7 d9 Q5 R( P高达22亿USDT转入CEX。”
`/ W* `* m- X- C7 e神秘巨鲸转USDT进交易所后，BTC通常迎来大涨 P- H+ M( l+ d+ ~$ s- ]7 s2 }
据小河2日撰文分析，该神秘巨鲸从10月20日开始，陆续从Tether铸造获得18.1亿枚USDT，并将其转入Kraken、- H- e7 @$ _: y' g3 s3 L
Coinbase、OKX等合规交易所。' U& O8 B* N: I! @' U
并且该地址在10月20日至12月9日期间，累计向交易所转入17.6亿枚USDT，与市场完美的时间点完美契合(同期
2 r+ h! ] }0 t6 r7 I9 a4 PBTC价格从27,000一路涨至最高44,000美元)，判断该巨鲸同期应以买入BTC为主，因此他认为该巨鲸可能是本轮
' z7 }' x/ H9 `0 f小牛行情的「潜在发动机」之一。8 Z9 m+ O* g8 e& \# b9 @: z8 \# {0 A
“但凡该神秘地址频繁转入交易所，BTC在后几日都会迎来明显拉涨。12月9日停止买入后，12月11日上场变迎( R: ~0 |4 f( t% v# d
来大跌，随后高位震荡至今。对比来看，该神秘地址基本上可以被确定为此轮行情的现货端主导之一，每次转入) E0 V: w9 I0 [2 z1 B: H% d6 F: U: @: B
交易所活跃的时候，市场价格上涨，沉睡的时候价格震荡/下跌。”0 r, a5 r6 {: w7 v
巨鲸或是北美传统机构# Y' M/ u; q# j$ `$ |; i, X
这个被视为「小牛引擎」的神秘巨鲸究竟是何方神圣？据分析，该地址的操作时间贴近北美作息，且集中在工作2 x! h' w' n# ~) b$ Q
日出手，此外他的交易对手方只有Coinbase、OKX、Kraken这样的合规机构，买入的资金高达十亿美元级别，因* ]# }0 ]6 L, {$ \
判断不是币圈机构，而是一家总部在北美的传统机构。
/ v; |! ~# c5 {而该地址在Arkham平台上被AI标记为“Cumberland DRW”，这是一家总部位于芝加哥的衍生品高频交易公% @( w5 U# Q, c$ g
司，在加密货币交易也非常活跃，为机构客户提供交易、研究和托管服务，根据Cumberland DRW官网，该公司
9 |: T- i' \' Y2 J& t2 b% m( g在2022年拥有约100亿美元的资产管理规模。
* T& H% p8 R: n: K% j1 W( w不论该神秘巨鲸背后究竟是谁，高达22亿美元的买入，再加上比特币现货ETF有望获批的时间逼近，后续其动作 Q3 G' }- T2 k) z# c
对市场造成的影响值得重点关注。
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