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[虚拟币交流]
比特币的未来是否有被操纵的风险?你需要知道的转变(转)
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自疫情扰乱传统资产以来,比特币巨头一直在积极积累比特币。
; p3 \$ L7 Y! u1 y' x7 |8 T) v- y% G这是否预示着大规模牛市的前兆?
* e' S. G/ e& d3 {+ {比特币[BTC]突破10万美元,再次证明加密货币市场在第一季度的牛市中蓬勃发展。但这一次,这个六位数的里程碑背后是十年的变化。
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7 u6 P+ O3 n+ |2 i就在10年前,BTC的年初价格为314美元。快进到2025年,增长了29639% ;$ S- I& P" c; B" _. I
+ x% Z: G: D0 `但这不仅仅是数字。AMBCrypto揭示了这一激增背后的隐藏因素——一个将重塑市场的因素。但这是好事还是坏事?
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8 P7 N' y3 @5 S' k5 m6 b做好准备,一场重大冲击即将到来;
- O [2 B4 h5 W7 c: \/ z尽管比特币鲸鱼只占网络的1.25%,但它们一直是帮助比特币打破主要心理目标的关键。8 x# C. l7 M& E5 K; N0 O! {
1 v" l8 v2 x6 `5 g这一转变在2020-21年周期真正得到了体现,当时疫情后的繁荣推动投资者远离传统市场。! s6 G0 w2 l8 P, }2 d2 e2 e( S
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作为回应,BTC在2021年首次突破2万美元,持有超过1万BTC的地址达到15万。
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这就是为什么当市场变得艰难时,散户投资者会转向这些HODLers寻求指导。
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( l# P0 i$ d1 o* r$ e3 F F6 h即使是10万美元的突破(截至本文撰写时)也发生在大玩家身上舀起来更多BTC,引发大规模零售资本的涌入.
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但现在,围绕“中心化”的争论在比特币网络上愈演愈烈。一些人认为,随着更多的比特币集中在更少的人手中,市场可能会更容易受到突然波动的影响。
6 d' v* z( O# h( K
! C& K- k6 ^! r! u6 y; {但情况是这样的:鲸鱼移动的比特币数量已经下降到2016年以来从未见过的水平。换句话说,BTC流入交易所的速度在过去十年中大幅放缓。( V; q- T* x; R' R; ?6 d
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为什么这很重要?这挑战了比特币巨头正在操纵市场的观点。
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事实上,随着鲸鱼积累更多的比特币,交易量放缓,我们可能处于比特币有史以来最大的供应冲击的边缘。: r" B0 E; B+ m3 {
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比特币鲸鱼正在为2025年做准备' J1 O* y+ u6 N: g7 d5 j, ^
目前,加密货币市场正处于高度兴奋阶段,BTC在两周后收回了10.2万美元。市场内外的多种因素共同推动了这一激增。
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然而,这一次的情况与上一个周期有所不同,当时由于经济担忧和美联储的谨慎立场,比特币在10.8万美元处挣扎 ;
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6 @. y: Z* N+ W5 m7 t* G随着特朗普就职典礼的临近,第一季度看涨趋势的历史,以及大量资本从这两个方面涌入机构对于散户投资者来说,潜在的反弹可能会更高。
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更重要的是,比特币鲸鱼对BTC作为一种价值储存表现出更强的信心。这一转变表明,价格剧烈波动的时代可能已经过去;
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因此,随着比特币的分布变得更加稳定,其波动性正在稳步下降,为未来更大的周期奠定了基础。
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1 V& X$ s( ^4 \+ ~0 ?0 D$ Z% n" V' @: ^随着这一转变,BTC已准备好度过不可避免的2025年市场风暴事实上,它甚至可能将BTC定位为更安全的赌注,在未来一年可能会超过风险较高的资产。& R( y9 ]; A5 o3 @. b) Z
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