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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份$ ^; b2 G# Z8 l/ f
. h. ?5 ^$ }5 U7 `3 @, _报告中特别强调了这一论断。
' r5 D- ?8 b1 S; r- \. g美元抛售推高比特币: g X# j+ q" L9 i; _
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。" |0 w7 i2 ?6 o- N
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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7 L$ J4 @. U5 f3 W: O- m" u( ?数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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2 F4 l$ B$ P1 e# F0 w7 `9 ?% EAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推8 \. X; Q- k! H( l0 w7 P S
% w5 ]. \, h, q高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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, H" W* K, B# ]剂。
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$ x; {( I; [1 ]这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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$ {, H! H: p& G4 K- ]6 \/ O: h这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。! s' H( Y- h" s9 G1 i: c$ R6 x
7 e: w" ^0 Z. u& ]$ {, @7 Q% h9 e2 `然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，# `. }$ p0 p4 a; f5 w
: E) q# ?) @1 k% v“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。” d9 g6 m! b2 m$ b2 v
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, U; f8 c. G1 O" z, \) |7 @; d7 Z分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。5 o% _3 `- W+ X @
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”/ w) {1 c! y" `
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交. |3 \! P: L+ s! ?, U
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。& O9 e" y0 _, b) J. U
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