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[lastpost] => 2767255 量子倒计时：Solana 创办人警告比特币五年内或遇最大安全危机 1758871547 德罗星
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当前离线
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总在线: 13387 小时
本月在线: 85 小时
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9 月 25 日，XRP 突破 2.90 美元的涨幅在大量抛售下崩盘，交易量飙升 2.77 亿美元，将价格拉回 2.75 美元。 此举导致过去一周市场价值蒸发逾 180 亿美元，并确认 2.80 美元处出现新的阻力，交易员们准备测试 2.70 美元的支撑位。 + d% x7 \, _0 j
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3 O: e# U1 }$ c3 ^- k7 b2 t新闻背景1 ~1 C5 b& u" d0 z) e% }5 [
• 由于机构大量抛售，XRP 在 9 月 25 日至 26 日的交易中下跌 5.83%，从 2.92 美元跌至 2.75 美元。! j& |. w. A1 r. v
• 17:00 时，价格在 2.80 美元处急剧下跌，引发交易量激增 2.7677 亿 — — 是 24 小时平均值的 2.5 倍多。) H& j7 m+ {5 R* i
• 尽管美国证券交易委员会批准了首只美国 XRP ETF，但鲍威尔对估值和国债收益率上升的警告抵消了乐观情绪。
4 H5 o) r2 E/ K! R+ e# j• 过去一周，XRP 市值缩水 189.4 亿美元，跌幅 10.22%，跌破 3.00 美元心理关口。
& t7 @2 C7 n1 B: G* T价格行为摘要
/ y% i7 f: D0 n- MXRP 交易价格在 2.92 美元至 2.74 美元之间（盘中波动幅度为 6.3%），最终收于 2.75 美元附近。! z5 b8 Q$ l" K- d
• 在 2.80 美元的价位因成交量极大而遭到拒绝后，卖方占据主导地位，形成了一个限制进一步上涨的分配区。
. v) t* h+ \# g1 W• 随后的复苏尝试在 2.81 美元至 2.82 美元左右停滞，证实了新的阻力群。 k; y2 a2 D' r- {- @
• 最后一个小时，价格短暂反弹 1.09%，从 2.75 美元上涨至 2.78 美元，主要受 00:50 至 00:57 之间每根蜡烛交易量超过 300 万的集中流量推动。' l6 M) `$ W+ _# U8 b
• 目前短期支撑位在 2.75 美元至 2.77 美元，若突破则面临下行风险，跌向 2.70 美元。 技术分析- d) r4 {8 i3 F! G9 p M
• 范围：最高 2.92 美元至最低 2.74 美元之间为 0.18 美元（6.3%）。
0 Q( @% x! o( M- [• 阻力位：2.80 美元的初始阻力位；2.81 美元至 2.82 美元的阻力位在重新测试失败后形成。
/ m8 f3 ]! h; T' F5 f/ O• 支撑位：尾盘交易中捍卫了 2.75 美元区域；接下来关注 2.70 美元心理水平。: i$ `" K! j9 u) J1 E
• 交易量：17:00 时为 2.7677 亿，而日均交易量为 1.0842 亿。: z9 y3 [ O0 z- M
• 形态：成交量大幅回落，预示着价格将逐步分散。短期盘整于2.77美元附近，表明市场在下一步行动前仍犹豫不决。
2 k/ H' I1 j' K8 _( w' m交易员们正在关注什么
3 h! ` u8 f2 B5 o1 B• 亚洲交易时段是否维持 2.75 美元的水平，还是跌向 2.70 美元。& | k. E+ H. G O' l* E6 g
• ETF 乐观情绪与实际资金流出——抛售新闻模式仍在发挥作用。
# v- J% P6 R* u6 G. i• 过去一周，鲸鱼资金已转移 8 亿美元；如果恢复抛售，则将面临定位风险。
% L) |/ E3 [' p. w$ B4 G+ Q2 t) x$ W• 宏观风险：鲍威尔的强硬语气、美国国债收益率攀升、美联储降息预期受到限制。
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13387 小时
本月在线: 85 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 44 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 14637 小时
本月在线: 603 小时
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XRP冲高回落太快，2.80变强阻力，短期真得守住2.75，不然就要试探2.70了。
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