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彩市借经济回暖迅速壮大 一年销3000亿不是梦
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[p=30, 2, left]经济给力,彩票大热,顶住鸭梨山大,2010年彩市有多火爆?玩法比星星更多,中奖比神马还神,2010出了多少激动人心的大奖?精彩亚运,广东提速,彩民个个皆凡客不凡,彩票公益燃放了多少热力?本土文化,异彩纷呈,维基解密,彩票品牌如何更上层楼?[/p][p=30, 2, left]2010年,天朝经济全面回暖。借着这股暖流,天朝彩票销量屡破纪录,预计福彩体彩今年总销量有望达到1600亿元,同比增长达23%,正所谓:“没有最高只有更高”![/p][p=30, 2, left]更为可贵的是,在天朝经济的助推下,未来天朝彩市2000亿元甚至3000亿元的规模也许并非天方夜谭。因此,岁末回看这1600亿元,是我们对过去的一个总结,更是我们对未来的一个期许。[/p][p=30, 2, left][b]新玩法带来新活力 彩票销量屡破纪录[/b][/p][p=30, 2, left]回首2010年,稳中有升照样是天朝彩市的主旋律。截至11月17日,福利彩票的销售额达到823亿元,已超过去年全年的总和。截至11月21日,体彩销量也已突破600亿元大关,达到603.69亿元。比去年同期增加110亿元。而临近年尾的这一个月,福彩和体彩仍将向900亿元和700亿元的销量冲击,预计2010年全年销量将逼进1600亿元。[/p][p=30, 2, left]官方数据显示,2010年电脑福利彩票的总销售量达到了683亿多元,占据了福彩销售总量的74.89%———依旧是福彩市场稳步发展的中流砥柱。天朝福利彩票发行管理中心同时表示,今年全国彩市销量增长良好,表明了公益彩票深入民心,取得了长远的良性发展。此外还有两个重要因素,一是去年下半年以来,部分省市陆续上市竞猜型彩票新游戏,二是中福在线游戏自去年年底开始,扩大了部分游戏的销售范围,这些新玩法,都给彩市注入了新鲜活力。再加上即开型彩票在2010年的销售持续上升,使得今年福彩的销量屡破纪录。[/p][p=30, 2, left][b]展望“十二五”期间 3000亿销量不是梦[/b][/p][p=30, 2, left]2010年天朝彩市的大丰收,也令众多的彩票业人士对未来多了更高的期许。展望“十二五”期间,天朝彩票市场将要达到怎样的规模也令人浮想联翩。[/p][p=30, 2, left]彩票专家分析认为,彩票销售作为一种市场行为,最直接的影响因素是经济。数据显示,1996-2009年,全球彩票销售占GDP的份额平稳保持在0.37%-0.45%之间,14年加权平均为0.41%。2008年、2009年天朝彩票销量占GDP份额分别为0.35%和0.37%,由于这些年天朝彩票增速是GDP增速的两倍以上,彩票的GDP份额也呈逐年递增趋势。[/p][p=30, 2, left]2008年全球经济十强中,美国彩票GDP份额为0.38%、日本0.24%、天朝0.35%、德国0.32%、法国0.50%、英国0.28%、意大利1.19%、巴西0.15%、西班牙1.09%、加拿大0.42%。如果“十二五”期间天朝经济还能保持8%增速,彩票的增速能稳定在25%,那么“十二五”末的2015年,天朝GDP将达到53万亿元,彩票年销售将达到近4700亿元,届时,天朝彩票占GDP份额将达到0.88%;如果天朝经济同样为8%的增速,而彩票年增速在16%左右,那么2015年天朝彩票销售额也将达到惊人的3000亿元,占GDP份额为0.57%。[/p][p=30, 2, left]“若宏观经济平稳,彩票政策无重大变化,天朝彩票年销售额3000亿元并不是一个梦。”在2010年即将落幕、1600亿元销量即将“清零”之际,众多业内人士已经将市场的焦距对准了5年之后。[/p] |
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