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[lastpost] => 2776840 比特币今日新闻：Mt. Gox 2026 年延期：加密货币偿还的系统性障碍（转） 1761743073 爱美的女人
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；: s* |+ {# M& k3 |
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据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元
F9 m$ |5 o& |+ X+ i9 y |
. g$ Q3 P4 ?* \* V4 @3 r" ?; w“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”6 D5 j% `" [/ L; l, M. q
; a( Z/ Q- I1 V3 \就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；- W' ^2 Q+ v4 s
5 P! T6 L6 p% P( f/ [ x* i需求上升与风险
2 E5 a& G4 Z# m3 k3 v6 ]" d投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。9 |6 F6 Q4 C6 C- W
& b& H9 {0 r* O从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；
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, |2 ` H1 ~3 K* w+ L5 h6 S; W) S% v事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。; H" F% Z2 J0 y* l& [3 Q2 `9 o: b" X
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；
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/ R+ P2 O5 C/ \4 l5 E因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；; g5 Z$ Q; i& Z9 N" q, p$ @
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但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；3 T# e% t/ t' H7 M3 W: w* |3 Q/ d
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。0 Z7 ~9 r4 u) j/ A8 o' S3 d
- P8 E" C* h3 A6 Q% N! i根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；: a0 z) U' b! h C
! L) k- j) g, Q5 J4 @) ~; F然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。/ k* ]+ d0 ` Z/ `" G, ]% [
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简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；' m+ W* R+ {; ]7 l& D. A& y
% _. d# Y# ?' L/ Q与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）) V/ \+ S1 L! e0 ]+ l
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