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[lastpost] => 2777225 比特币面临拒绝——近期上涨后阻力区限制上涨（转） 1761709829 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；. D# X7 b/ O! `9 U: o) f& E
: E. W9 e) A. @据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元
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“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”0 Y- {! I5 x/ p7 x
3 K0 C7 N: `: U2 G! l就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；: O2 U2 M9 A; b
! h. `" J" ^" _2 W- q4 v需求上升与风险& S: |' Z; k5 V. S& Q2 T+ w/ ]
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。+ g2 D6 c0 Q6 b- V& C A1 Y# j$ r
5 Z2 ?# F& y5 ~4 K* V, T9 Y) F从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；: b: Q/ [5 d( W. O/ N/ l7 d: e
( I4 O2 h* c$ l* J7 E0 y3 j事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。$ F/ t/ Z/ W6 Y1 m9 a
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；
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8 t# O4 P/ e* p: U6 L! b: G因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；! T0 z7 v( @% E" m& j" `
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但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。
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根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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0 K% a/ ]7 v8 r% R# }8 |然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。+ \8 B$ q$ A+ ]! O
* h, Y/ _7 b, s- M- r简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；* b W% i: y6 w% k9 |: k) {
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与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）
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