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[lastpost] => 2765086 比特币九月的历史低点可能已被价格消化（转） 1757750273 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。2 O0 _; w' @1 y$ w* M3 X
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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比特币重新分配正在进行7 c3 K' Q8 o- B1 H) K3 `
& y: X% ^+ G5 ^4 S# v目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。( [) @9 V5 T" W9 R- Y3 i/ v
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。' U. B+ R/ A. ]% }2 W6 i- i7 o
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3 m# d/ y! V8 i2 }5 J根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。! \- S5 ~9 G2 {8 r4 i
+ Z/ [2 Z" I3 P. ]# e通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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' ^ H6 E* {9 f/ Y$ u! e! f当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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9 E/ d& E, }) s- W9 ^# _比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微# x+ ~) Q! M. S# ~
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。5 z6 E3 Y$ i) L$ D
h. q! i, I3 y8 y# t4 b" Z% D本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。' Q; [0 f) o( G# w/ r _) y
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% q# P3 I8 T# [; S一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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现货交易商调整
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/ h* D/ w0 _+ b) q$ B: m现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。1 Q+ z% G* N/ @" ?2 L
1 M7 R1 e7 K5 ^" ?' P仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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