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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2751145 首尔豪赌:加密资产能否重塑韩国经济未来?(转) 1753781427 韩少
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7199 小时
本月在线: 20 小时
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STH已记录了70亿美元已实现的损失,这是本周期中最多的5 y! s0 H" V+ c! C
比特币价格仍在关键的移动平均值下,短期持有人行为对近期趋势方向至关重要 i3 L# z; B2 A. H
短期比特币[BTC]持有人会感觉到热量是未实现的损失安装,这标志着这个市场周期中的关键拐点。但是,尽管有所有压力,历史表明这可能是更广泛的牛趋势中的自然冷却阶段。. G' k. w) L U' ]7 h" @1 O
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比特币损失爬升,但保持在历史范围内
) U5 t* p% }! H! I& k0 a4 E# n I实际上,来自玻璃节点显示短期持有人[STH]的相对未实现的损失可能接近+2标准偏差水平 - 这是与峰值遇险有关的阈值。" [0 \- ^4 d" C# W2 n
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然而,它们仍然保持在牛市中通常看到的上限范围内,尚未违反投降领域。- c/ h2 }- \( r
3 ]/ U' o! s0 V. Y' O, Z6 t, ASTH痛苦的新闻时间水平似乎也是值得注意的,在过去的30天中,已实现的损失超过70亿美元。
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1 a+ |% `6 T8 c: A1 E% B尽管这一数字是当前周期中最高的损失事件,但在2021年5月和2022年6月的重大逐渐减值期间,它显着低于惊人的198亿美元和207亿美元的损失。( y3 h Y2 o7 I8 w7 n+ u
' l# T2 ?5 W2 `/ d' S7 k这意味着,尽管损失一直在增加,但许多投资者仍在极端投降之前退出。换句话说,短期持有人可能会陷入适度的损失,而不是忍受更深层的缩减,这可能是更广泛的市场实力的可能迹象。3 V- P1 {0 E8 O- p* H o* ?
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比特币价格结构和风险区域
$ R2 ^8 | t2 Z5 B: D发稿时,比特币的交易价格为84,322美元,加密货币徘徊在其50天的搬家平均水平低于85,141美元以下,远低于200天移动平均线,为95,174美元。
. e1 b* \2 |6 v' O+ t) M3 r, [( c& d
这些水平形成关键阻力区,并可能继续抑制向上的动量。尤其是如果短期持有人的情绪仍然弱。' C b$ O+ Y% ], b0 s6 e; o( a
}+ [9 [! C( \4 o: G& v" l
布林乐队还强调了一个紧缩范围,暗示可能突破了。
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但是,由于短期持有人在压力下,除非新需求进入市场,否则偏见可能会倾斜看跌。
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! e5 J" k+ n( a% F. w7 C$ M3 D这对比特币趋势意味着什么
' e% `/ S( O! Q [. O8 q6 ]6 ^未实现的损失和已实现的损失的结合表明风险升高,特别是对于那些持有的人比特币在最近的高点获得。但是,这些损失仍然存在于历史牛市模式之内,这表明尚未确认宏逆转。
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* V+ y" t. e8 r; j( N9 V& O' N如果BTC可以收回85,000美元的级别并将其倒入支持,则可以在STH中更新信心。相反,如果不持有83,000美元,可能会导致更多销售,同时测试较低的支撑量接近80,000美元。% ^1 ^& o6 d& @% q
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总体而言,短期疼痛是显而易见的,但尚不极端。只要比特币的心理水平高于关键的心理水平和宏流程保持完整,这种校正就可以作为重置而不是逆转。
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当前离线
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当前离线
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本月在线: 130 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
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总在线: 8943 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
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总在线: 2818 小时
本月在线: 22 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10170 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
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