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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格上涨 8%，2025 年 9 月有望创 13 年来最佳水平（转）
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今年 9 月，比特币的比特币; s, U3 F& Z) R4 Q1 {# a# z
116,543美元
, @/ ?# i5 x1 ?" z6 z涨幅超过了 2012 年以来的任何一年，创下了牛市新高。: V a5 V0 k3 n$ r; {, O$ C6 J
CoinGlass和BiTBO的历史价格数据证实，比特币 2025 年 9 月的涨幅为 8%，是有史以来第二好的涨幅。
$ A8 F E6 {5 U比特币上涨 8%，避开“十月”/ P* D9 T# D$ D C
9月传统上是比特币最弱的月份，平均损失约为8%。
4 Y& g/ I( |. a7 |+ h0 o今年，BTC 价格的季节性风险很高，因为历史模式要求下一个牛市高峰，而其他风险资产则屡创历史新高。
& `" _2 c$ m; Q4 @- A- m/ G虽然黄金和标准普尔 500 指数都处于价格发现阶段，但 BTC/USD 在上个月创下新高后，整个 9 月份一直处于盘整状态。
1 q. c' z" o9 w8 G: f然而，即使“仅”上涨 8%，今年 9 月份的表现也足以使其成为比特币 13 年来最强劲的一年。
$ { i2 H# k8 @! V4 E) F比特币多头在一年中的第九个月唯一一次盈利更高是在2012年，当时BTC/USD上涨了约19.8%。去年，涨幅最高达到7.3%。
& v- ?7 O/ c: R/ P9 L, rBTC价格波动消失
( |7 ]" g+ x8 n0 R1 ~) g这些数据凸显了比特币牛市巅峰时期极不寻常的一年。7 S, G* Q- W2 F( n8 j1 Q v
与以往的牛市不同，BTC 价格波动在 2025 年已经消退，这与长期市场参与者根据先前表现所预期的相反。
0 S8 s% u: u- V7 s) g* I. C& eCoinGlass 数据显示，波动性下降至十多年来未见的水平，从 4 月开始下降尤为剧烈。- H% V. U, j6 ~6 S9 Q
与此同时，链上分析公司Glassnode强调，在本轮牛市中，BTC 价格从历史高点回落的幅度并不大。
7 s3 T/ P3 ~; k1 J# q- P这一比例此前曾达到 80%，但截至 2025 年，30% 仍然是最高水平。
/ D' b' V6 ~( D+ h3 B7 l: @0 D3 r尽管如此，相对缺乏波动性仍反映在牛市表现中，BTC/USD 难以与之前的周期竞争。
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