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[虚拟币交流]
MetaMask发币引空投猜想，Linea持币者或成潜在赢家？
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继 Base 突然改口探索发币后，MetaMask 或也将于近期发币。
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: N$ w* a. n* R J0 X6 Z今年 5 月，MetaMask 联合创始人 Dan Finlay 表示团队在「考虑」发行代币，但态度模糊不定。而就在今天，口风骤然转变——MetaMask 母公司 Consensys 创始人 Joseph Rubin 在接受 The Block 旗下播客节目 The Crypto Beat 采访时表示：「MetaMask 代币即将到来，甚至可能比你想象的更快。」
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或许，MetaMask 之所以在此时下定决心发币，正是因为 Web 3 钱包之争日益激烈。曾经的一家独大，如今却逐渐被竞争者分流热度，甚至在部分用户中被边缘化。9 u! N! [! a0 m& ~8 u, `% {
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Web 3 钱包大战下，MetaMask 早已跌下神坛
+ F* s' c% r6 j3 h2 O6 e根据 Dune 数据，MetaMask 在 Web 3 钱包的 Swap 市场中的份额正经历断崖式下滑，从 2022 年底接近 80% 的绝对统治地位，逐步跌落至如今不足 1% 的边缘化状态。尽管 MetaMask 并非坐以待毙，近年来积极通过 Snap 等工具尝试拓展生态，支持包括 Solana 在内的多链钱包接入，以期维持其开发者友好和生态开放的优势，但实际效果并未能抵挡趋势。
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原因在于，交易平台系 Web 3 钱包的崛起速度远超预期。
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! F# X `, Q8 Q5 R' c首先，Web 3 钱包领域迅速崛起的是 OKX Wallet。它依靠出色的功能设计和操作便捷性吸引用户日常使用，继承交易平台流动性优势，让部分用户体验到了比 MetaMask 更顺畅的交易流程。这一阶段，钱包的竞争力主要来自功能体验，而非激励机制。
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当下，Binance Wallet 的增长最为突出。借助Binance Alpha 活动，Binance Wallet 开启了以代币空投为核心的用户增长模式。用户被「交易+空投预期」双轮驱动吸引，快速提升活跃度和渗透率。此时，「用交易平台钱包完成任务=有空投预期」已成为市场共识，使 Binance Wallet 成为新一代增长最快的钱包。同样，OKX Wallet 也在近期依托 OKX Boost 活动不断拓展使用场景，让其逐步成为用户日常交易与交互的首选入口。
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3 v7 d% l' J5 Y$ O# IBinance Alpha 或许已经为 Web 3 钱包的发展探明了道路：在当前市场环境下，单纯依靠产品功能或用户教育已难以快速形成规模效应，唯有通过代币空投刺激用户行为，才能最大程度占据 Web 3 钱包的市场份额。或正因如此，MetaMask 团队决定发币，通过代币激励重新吸引老用户并锁定新用户，实现生态扩张。
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Linea 持币者或受益于 MetaMask 空投
" _2 a# J# q- y( I" h作为 ConsenSys 旗下的以太坊 Layer 2 项目 Linea，开盘价格表现并不理想，当前流通市值仅为 4.3 亿美元，市值排名 213 名。在这种情况下，MetaMask 发币很可能会考虑与同源项目 Linea 持币者绑定，通过空投或激励机制直接触达 LINEA 网络用户，从而增加对 LINEA 代币的需求，进而推动币价。
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换句话说，通过 MetaMask 空投计划，MetaMask 提升钱包活跃度、交易量，Linea 则借助钱包导流增加网络使用和代币需求。通过这种「钱包+以太坊二层」的组合效应，两个项目有机会共同发展，形成更强的网络效应。- S( o- F6 E( \) d7 `
/ e8 {& L* w6 {是时候重新用起来了小狐狸钱包
( i! O% G, F$ ]' o C; ^* |. r7 V相信大部分 Web 3 老用户都曾经都使用过 MetaMask 钱包。虽然目前 MetaMask 的代币空投细节尚未公布，但老钱包用户不妨重新启用自己的 MetaMask，保持活跃，以博取潜在的空投机会。
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此外，重新使用老 MetaMask 钱包，并不意味着要刻意刷交易量。用户只需通过日常链上操作保持钱包活跃即可。毕竟，目前还没有上线类似奥德赛的任务，不必为了空投而增加钱包磨损。
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