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[虚拟币交流]
ChatGPT 能预测比特币的下一步走势吗？交易员们对 AI 进行了测试（转）
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交易员们开始在桌面上测试一个新问题：ChatGPT 能否预测比特币的下一波走势？该模型不会扫描区块链或追踪“鲸鱼”钱包。但当与清晰的图表和强大的指标相结合时，它可以反映重要的水平。 ChatGPT 如何预测比特币的下一步走势？利用丰富的数据和专家的分析来推动 GPT-5结果取决于输入的质量。稀疏的提示会给出泛泛的答案。详细的输入，例如 RSI、MACD、MVRV 比率，则能产生更精准的判断。 举个例子，分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）绘制了一张图表，显示持有 115,400 美元的比特币可以避免跌向 93,600 美元。当这张图表通过 ChatGPT 运行后，又回到了同样的水平。 用不同的图表提示 ChatGPT 的 GPT-5 模型并引入新的基本面参数，就会出现不同的预测。 然后，我们创建了一个场景，其中我们剥离了 MVRV，只留下 RSI 和 MACD，并且偏见转向看跌，标志着动量减弱。 交易员们将其付诸实践在 X 上，交易员 primedealer 将带有堆叠移动平均线的一分钟 BTC 图表推送到模型中。 有趣的是，ChatGPT 为交易者提供了一个预测：BTC 价格的看跌情绪多于看涨情绪。 我们测试的场景表明，ChatGPT 并没有发明信号；它根据分析师的逻辑来构建输入的信号。 界限依然清晰ChatGPT 无法利用原始区块链流量、清算热图或实时订单簿。因此，它无法取代 Glassnode、Santiment 或 CryptoQuant。它最适合作为合成层运行，以便从传入的数据中快速生成结构化的输出。 以太坊联合创始人 Vitalik Buterin 主张的正是这种模式；一种协助人类监督的人工智能，让呼叫保持可靠。 有关的： [url=]布特林拒绝人工智能治理，推动人工审核的“信息金融”[/url] 超越比特币：案例研究分析师们已经开始将测试扩展到其他资产。例如，本月早些时候，知名加密货币分析师 Rob Cunningham 就曾建议 ChatGPT 对 XRP 价格进行预测。 值得注意的是，坎宁安[url=]提示[/url]ChatGPT 完全依赖即将上市的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 为 XRP 带来的潜在 170 亿美元现金流入。有趣的是，ChatGPT 对 XRP 价格进行了详细的预测，包括潜在的最高价、平均价和最低价。 因此，通过 ChatGPT 获得高度准确的比特币价格预测是可能的。然而，谨慎的做法是，在提示中向生成式 AI 提供正确的数据，以获得最准确的预测。 ( o( V: c! x0 c. R- v) I" U
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