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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 " n+ I0 j" G2 ]" Z
行情补充、 ! F8 \7 Y4 Z! e. J
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 - ]" r8 o6 U+ v8 b- H9 d2 G
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 ( m/ O8 b* `6 G0 I" c
关于疑问、一一回复。 / G A+ q# j B. y7 p4 j& D
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 0 b$ O* Y" Q5 s( R4 j# F
1 V4 u5 _) w! K. ?! Z9 I. Z首先就个人的主观来说、
! J9 t* L, x9 s$ B2 b/ X6 \" }对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 3 j) R8 u" c) U) K) b1 f
极度憧憬市场的未来！
/ u! ^8 T$ \* K J! R但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 ( U% h- P' h2 ]
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 3 b0 V* ]8 z0 r
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
' R1 w4 X: I( j0 Y( v, u会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
4 u- l9 S" e! g' H' u& z转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 % ~" V4 x" n1 E! n1 _( q# j* P
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 7 Q, c, [0 w. } P& y- W- v
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） * h0 s ?) Z' x; O
为什么会跌、
1 A' D# J2 C. K$ }( m$ P; p1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
4 i( C1 i5 I* C( ]2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
- \( @; Q o# Z: @( z+ x% Q9 l3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
2 r2 o! U( J9 ~( I$ Q+ |( a综上造成的下跌、 : q* g; d5 i: k6 U G
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 4 ?' y7 I* L9 R; f q
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 0 ~: W& E6 Y# `1 z4 S
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 , B4 J: @$ D) p, J
来决定行情是否好转。 / z; L; F9 O7 m2 C4 }
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
7 X0 x O( j1 N8 B3 \% Q在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 0 V* f! K% C- F( @0 y% D q( U
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 ' f5 ]6 {" y8 W# ]5 d
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
% D/ a# ~' l8 V那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
. }9 u! l+ U1 G看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
. j: i; m$ E* {5 f: h$ T8 g日内大饼反弹、 : n( n N r/ S) v
26150高空 $ g" g) q/ g8 c: L3 ]1 a) ^8 v
26350补仓 9 u, X) b& Z& u5 s! S7 ^. `
26550防守 * _' L/ r) r$ h K+ W
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
# \- p; n, S6 V, D n" w% P以太反弹
5 X. N0 F9 ?" O! m% m! q1380高空 ; G& r2 x. e8 [3 P+ ]
1400补仓 + S* q9 c& J9 U3 G9 w* T
1420防守
& c! w3 C$ j5 N& ^1 |目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 2 K/ l; `. u; J; d# n
附言、 6 r- ], ]1 J( D7 g- A9 R+ s
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 ' ]. k! D9 W C8 q2 s9 l( w( O. j
是正常现象，
7 ^2 q: }+ P0 s合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 # c4 ]$ i) I( b
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 " C* V7 f7 p$ `$ j c& l8 k7 @# p
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
) S+ k) |" a) E/ |" w/ {# z: P5 m上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
) ]9 l( u h2 }+ [ ]5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
8 e) F/ \: z' y& H7 v1 _4 n6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 9 u4 ^6 s4 }( e; Q h3 t
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
; P- e; Q; F: D/ h$ f- E+ c; g) |但现阶段，要承受的住。 % `0 l( R* s. s* N2 x9 t; Q* k
最后再强调、现货勿割。
( t: G! K- s; w' G, w7 d9 m25000的大饼 1300的以太、 # R8 V5 O. m) q* Q, }1 h) \
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
. e0 y# G' f7 I1 O1 @2 G稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 7 [- q4 M# r8 t7 s
这个市场，
4 z+ y# f" b" u: O& F# Z消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
. x: x; _6 @" m* K3 Y- R最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 9 w/ w1 R* U- t* E$ w1 r( u
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 % \7 g! s$ ^0 d# Q5 z. ~4 E
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 # R4 f2 p7 `7 s% a* [2 p
来源：金色财经 |
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