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冷风说币：震荡持续 多军可能酝酿反击 2022.08.24
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市场消息
24日凌晨，美股三大股指小幅收跌，道指跌幅为0.47%；纳指跌0.27点；标普500指数跌幅为0.22%。美联储将坚持激进加息的市场预期令股指承压。
一觉醒来，美股还是延续下跌，对币市有什么影响？现在，不管你是担心还是兴奋，我都要郑重地给你提一个醒：千万不要与美联储作对！现在能让美股下跌的一大因素，就是美联储加息这个问题了。
就当前宏观经济形势来看，虽然美国通胀问题有所缓解，但并不意味着接下来美联储不会加息了，加息只是幅度问题，只是时间长短罢了。
美联储任何关于加息、缩表动向，都会成为全球市场的方向标。从历史大数据来看，一旦美联储加息的消息传出，美股都是先跌为敬，顺带把加密货币市场给带偏了。
至于美联储9月份加息幅度如何，这真心没有办法去猜。
每当经济数据不好时，美联储就会鸽声不断，给市场吃定心丸，就怕市场进入万丈深渊；
而当经济数据向好时，美联储立马鹰声不断，祭出杀威棒，就怕市场猛飞，让控制通胀的努力前功尽弃！
美联储这种左手搏右手的空明拳法，让市场起来的很快，但回到原位的速度也很快，一年一度的全球央行年会本周五（8月26日）就将开幕了，据说鲍威尔又要开始唱鹰了。
这特么还能怎么玩？胆儿肥的，你短期热点搞一下吧，胆儿不肥的，躺平一下吧，好像也就这样了！
行情分析
BTC短线支撑20700-21000美元，短线压力21800-22200美元。美元指数下跌，美三大指数下跌，但幅度收窄，后市应有反弹。外围环境有利于大饼反弹。
昨天大饼在21000美元附近再收星线，说明多空双方在此点位都很谨慎，但随着26日世界央行行长会议的临近，个人认为大饼还是倾向于会有一波反弹，高度先看到22400-22800美元。
对于大的趋势，目前还在运行在19000-25000美元的这个箱体里，只要不跌破19000美元，可以按箱体下沿买入。日内可以高抛低吸为主。
比特币昨天短线维持箱体震荡，大方向冷风维持原先观点，短线耐心等待变盘，箱体内依照支撑压力高抛低吸即可。箱体下沿支撑20700-20900，上沿压力21600-21800，破位后顺势而为。
ETH短线支撑1560-1600美元，短线压力1700-1730美元。昨天早上已经提醒大家短线会有反弹，今天观点不变，但1700-1730美元一带压力较强会有反复。冷风认为随着以太2.0的临近，再出现趋势上涨的可能性不大，大家还是趁这次反弹把仓位减下来为好。
以太坊整体保持跟比特币一样的趋势，上涨幅度略大于比特币，关注是否能在1600附近获得支撑，成功后续可能会走出一个小上涨趋势，上方压力在1710-1730附近，可以做多。失败以太坊还会维持箱体震荡。箱体下沿支撑1530-1560，上沿压力1650-1670，破位后顺势而为。
主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。山寨币短线跟随以太出现反弹，大家可以控制好仓位快进快出为主。但对中线冷风还是认为谨慎为好，山寨币出现反弹是给大家减仓的机会，千万不犹豫，如果大饼继续下杀，最受伤的还是山寨币，这是规律。 来源：金色财经 |
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