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币世界余勋8.28晚间解读 “鹰”派影响 没那么快消除 短期薅短空 重点关注下月13号
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比特币8月28午后行情解读
鲍威尔一“鹰”到底，三大股指单日重挫4%，大饼就弱势区下行破位，理应有短期惯性新低！
昨日午间布局，大饼20350至20450高空成功进场，破位两万点，低点19780，小拿两个百分比。
以太坊，1510至1520高空，成功触及第一目标1450.
拿下60点，四个百分比。
再次祝贺跟进思路的币友！
在央行会议前夕，市场提前“鹰派”铺垫，市场已跌过一轮，目前是鲍威尔双向确认，行情再度破位盘整区。
基本属于提前利空消化。
照目前这个势头及联储的决心，基本可以判定。
九月大概率会反道而行之，控制膨胀为首先要素。
展望九月，只关注两个时间点。
9月13号CPI公布，9月20号至21号议息会议。
如CPI再度有效控制，九月加息压力，必须会降轻。
如只是微乎其微的效果，75基点将再度从60%概率继续递增！
当下受“鹰”派影响，行情再度忌惮型恐慌，美股重挫，如周一未有止跌信号，行情还有望二次深探，比如考验17600-18500一线。
但切记，这只会是年前的最后一跌。
无论如何，只要8月CPI再度控制，控制膨胀的决心再重，也无需如此大力度实施加息。
现货长线一定坚持住，中线布局，切记注意九月前夕的转折点。年头尽可能吃个鱼尾！
短线，受情绪影响，技术面破位严重。
无法确认是否止跌，即使行情坚挺，但短期无法抬头，近些日子走势也只会与8月20号至8月25号间，呈窄幅弱势震荡。
所以短线反复薅短空，在下月13号落地前，可以先维持该思路。
夜间至凌晨短线点位；
大饼反弹至20150-20250继续高空，目标19780-19500.稳健20400附近进场。
以太坊反弹1505-1510高空。目标1475-1450-1430.
虽窄，目标且短。但符合当下行情氛围，及技术走势。
做多还需待市场再消化些日子，也需要13号CPI落地巩固、重大转折点。会第一时间公布，注意关注。
来源：金色财经 |
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