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尽管采取鹰派立场 美联储仍可能引发比特币（BTC）反弹
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在美联储最近宣布不打算很快降低利率后，一家加密货币交易所的前首席执行官正在权衡经济状况。
在一系列推文中，BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes假设美联储如何能够减少其资产负债表上的资产和负债，同时也促使股市反弹。
“让我们玩一个小游戏，叫做‘隐藏那些国债’。
规则：
美联储正在缩减资产负债表，美元流动性为负。
美国财政部正在发行债券以支付大量且不断增加的财政支出，美元流动性为负。
但我们想让 stonks 抽水，该怎么办？”
海耶斯表示，外国投资者或美联储本身不太可能购买他认为将用于在即将到来的中期选举之前发出另一轮刺激检查的美国国债。他认为银行可以购买美国国债，然后从杠杆中获利，这将导致股票上涨。
“如果美国银行可以购买美国国债，然后将它们转给美联储以换取美元呢？
然后银行拿走这些美元并通过金融市场利用它们。最终结果，更多美元流动性，猛涨！耶。”
这位加密货币老手补充说，虽然银行和美联储都可能由于资产负债表负债而不想直接购买债券，但他们可以一起利用美联储的常设回购便利 (SRF) 政策，该政策允许美联储隔夜买卖证券，以实现共同目标。
“美联储每天晚上都从银行接受国债，并给他们新的美元。
银行不会受到资本费用的打击，并且可以获得可以在金融经济中利用的非常便宜的美元流动性...... [然后] stonks pump。”
海耶斯说，纽约联储将在 9 月进行与 SRF 相关的“试运行”，该试运行有能力处理 5000 亿美元，然后补充说，
“美联储会启动它吗？我不知道。但是我们应该关注它，因此我将它添加到我的美元流动性指数中。
SRF 是吸收选举前刺激所需的国债发行的好方法。”
这位加密货币企业家在结束他的推特风暴时表示，人们需要追踪量化紧缩实际上如何从美联储资产负债表中抽走流动性，而不是担心利率。
海耶斯认为，美联储的策略是否成功将决定比特币 ( BTC ) 是上涨还是继续下跌。
“美元流动性数字上升，stonks 和 BTC 暴涨。
美元流动性数字下降，stonks 和 BTC 抛售。
你还不如扔掉那些谈论收入和其他废话的无用经济学教科书。”
在撰写本文时，比特币当天上涨 1.57%，价值 20,145 美元。
感谢阅读，喜欢的朋友可以点个赞关注我，我们下期再见 ！
来源：金色财经 |
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