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比特币的牛市迹象？ 休眠比特币数量记录
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比特币分析师 Nik Bhatia 和 Joe Consorti 在他们名为“比特币层”的页面中强调，休眠比特币的数量正在增加，这可能是牛市前的信号。
两位分析师表示，65%的比特币供应已经 1 年或更长时间没有变动，而这个比率是前所未有的。 分析师对他们也受益于 Glassnode 图形的评价如下：
“65% 的比特币供应甚至至少有一年没有被触及……”
当我们查看链上数据时，我们看到比特币已经开始形成基础。 比特币链上所有比特币的生命周期一目了然。 因此，我们可以从这里对市场参与者的行为有所了解。 从这些统计数据中，数据分析师可以深入了解比特币如何创造自己的市场周期。 比特币自身的市场周期独立于货币政策或商业发展等全球宏观经济因素。 下图显示了至少一年没有移动的比特币。 这个数字现在已经达到了 65%……所以比特币供应的很大一部分甚至一年或更长时间都没有被触及……
“随之而来的是一场大牛市”
如果很大一部分比特币供应很长时间没有进入市场，这意味着随着更多投资者进入市场，他们实际上会想要以更有限的供应量购买。 这将推动价格上涨。 在上图中，显示此示例的两个区域中放置了两条红线。 在指标达到顶峰后，我们看到一个大牛季紧随其后，而供应没有变化。 在 2020 年大流行引发的清除几个月后，这一指标达到顶峰，随后又出现了一次大规模的牛市。 因此，可以说，非活跃币高峰期是牛市前的跳板。
目前，一年多未售出、不动的硬币数量处于历史最高水平……此刻潮水似乎已经过去，我们正在看到海岸线 好像是20000左右…
HODL 波是查看比特币潮的另一种方式。 下图中的彩色区域代表硬币的年龄。 紫色、蓝色和绿色带表示较旧的硬币，而红色和橙色表示较新和投机的硬币。
在下图中，我们有一个更清晰的画面。 在这里，我们看到旧的和不动的/休眠的硬币变得更黄和更绿。 橙色和红色条带数量的增加表明投机交易者正在进入市场。 我们现在所处的这个时期实际上表明，较弱的球员已经被更稳固的老球员所取代，基地已经开始形成。
今天的分享就到这里，后期会给大家带来其他赛道的龙头项目分析。感兴趣的可以点个关注。我也会不定期整理一些前沿资询和项目点评，欢迎各位志同道合的币圈人一起来探索。有问题可以评论提问或者私信 来源：金色财经 |
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