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[lastpost] => 2749379 比特币创下新高后 巨鲸重返迷因币市场 这电报机器人或可帮你捕捉潜力币-转 1752636461 ouliangzhong
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。* S/ ]% P. I6 U5 N
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
: t/ ?1 w: q2 f) G1 D比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。
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9 k: F- c4 A! A2 o4 x& v% f接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。4 `( ?5 I% G2 Q. E' g0 r3 S7 p
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。
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- E$ p. H4 i- D: H- R4 G随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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市场信心[激增]？0 Q: c- h- P5 c: r3 n
根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
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2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。7 R9 z) g; L1 X- E0 @( d, D
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。1 a, r' ~2 a3 l) q7 I5 L
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超级持有者已暂停
4 e/ a% O# c, O8 r3 z尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。- Q! V( t: d: c3 f/ _1 \, U
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根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。% ^$ m. H9 s; v
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。& D) O4 j" `+ i& c4 ]' H
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即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。% l0 U6 A) R/ B! `
/ h& F7 l9 u4 L6 B# S5 D* X3 R( s4 R比特币显示出疲软迹象
+ O. N1 n) ?) s' H3 x, cRSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。8 ]5 D. B8 Z# E3 L5 S
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此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。
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尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。: Q+ o( s" M- {# r' e
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如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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