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[lastpost] => 2658034 贝莱德为了拜登而控盘不让比特币涨？ 1719121508 赚钱小样
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美国昨晚20:30公布的当周失业金人数超过预期，这是风险市场最愿意看到的数据，失业人数增加，意味着通胀有望下降，同时美国还公布了PPI年率和月率，均大幅不及预期，这提升了美国经济衰退的风险，使得美联储在持续加息的路上更加艰难，资本市场对于美联储5月最后一次加息的预期越来越强。经济衰退引发了避险情绪，黄金继续上涨，距离历史新高正在步步逼近，同时也引发了重回印钞的情绪，导致纳指带着比特币一起走强。不过月底的核心物价指数应该还会再次反转剧情，所以上涨别急着高兴，只不过是提前预期了4月中下旬的走势。 以太坊上海升级一天多过去了，以太坊价格虽然持续大涨，但我们可以看到自从升级后，以太坊的净质押量是在减少的，升级后存了11万，取走了26万，已经减少15万枚，因此后面按照这个速度去计算，以当前速率上涨几乎是不可持续的，同时以太坊质押平均成本是2100多，当前已经给多数资金解套，这位置再去追高的性价比就太低了。 比特币是跟着美股走的，不过当前日线和4h都处于背离状态里，31000很可能成为短期的顶部，狂人继续保持回调思维。同时从情绪来看，也看到了大家的亢奋，有不少之前炒币的散户已经开始回归，这些都是短期见顶的信号。另外比特币从底部15476反弹已经整整一倍，仅有过一次像样回调，这次从19000上来50%+的涨幅还没有回调，因此这位置短期风险已经大于机会。 小币的投机资金主要聚集在公链（含L2）以及eth2.0上，意味着一旦以太坊不持续走强，小币退潮也会很快，所以谨慎参与。
/ Z3 o: j7 g0 c |
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这个未必是它带动的吧，虚拟币人家分明是个独立的市场 |
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