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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。, v( ^' W. o- R; e- n: Z, A
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。
5 ^, l3 R9 {& k" c# d! L2 z! R越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。, s. P Z8 E( p. ~8 r& F* c
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。+ D: ~# h3 \$ v5 T2 }
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。1 V. k5 \: V+ v4 R+ d% e
alt/btc
m- A; J, S$ |- P6 ]alt/usdt
: k! {0 }- `, v4 ^3 T$ E% i那么，发生了什么？
$ {& H2 M7 C9 C- c& E1. 大户轮换资金" u* A/ K: Y7 e( {5 M
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。% I- L; X5 a4 T5 M! k
这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
& f9 f8 Y8 b8 U5 r, G3 t( S* P但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
?0 H: @+ b, M% k' E2. 市场的防御心理6 F: i7 p' Y$ ?, [0 I4 [9 f+ t2 {
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
8 B# N4 A$ E* ~这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。0 L/ x# {* F0 @' b( r" W U/ E; x
3. 需要关注的信号/ _/ l6 A3 ^1 l; e- Q; [
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
* U: [% y/ b' ?1 ?! a) N山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。4 d6 C& [% ^7 M' T- a' e
USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。, x' s. F5 h% W) ~, u( \
4. 对投资者的意义, g: V+ J& b6 h+ D& @+ z1 X
在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
. {& L. J( t( b* g如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
' r9 p ?# @+ t$ z" w& F) i安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
7 w9 ? z' z; o- q. E% x- l# |结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
( d) P& X8 ^" F#加密货币#4 t( D6 A+ S4 R2 P9 `6 B8 c. i
7 y1 A8 N- X( u$ e/ ` l# E5 L
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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