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[lastpost] => 2758068 比特币情绪“喜忧参半”，Qubic 瞄准狗狗币等等——加密货币为何下跌！（转） 1755571597 小钱儿
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XRP最近的价格飙升引起了交易员和长期投资者的注意。除其他链上指标外，NVT比率的急剧飙升引发了人们对这场反弹可持续性的质疑。
% b+ p# ^+ J! U/ Y虽然价格势头强劲，但NVT的激增表明市场价值和网络活动之间的脱节日益严重。
N0 P& x; ~ Z% H7 N( J这项分析将检验这是否预示着XRP未来方向的机遇或警告。
8 m& G# a9 ]; S' a: iXRP NVT比率激增7 h, k% N; E9 A" Q
近年来，XRP的NVT比率出现了显著波动。2020年至2021年初，这一数字在200至600之间，反映了市场的平衡。) f0 K6 \3 j" P8 n, d
然而，从2021年年中到2022年初，该指数飙升至1000以上，表明存在投机驱动的高估期。
6 ?/ p8 Z1 g7 A% x3 ^! R3 z最近，NVT比率飙升至1800左右，这是最高水平之一，表明两者之间存在脱节XRP市值和链上交易量。
" ^' m5 E4 |/ O3 @$ O从历史上看，这种飙升早于价格调整。为了维持当前的价格水平，XRP需要大幅增加链上活动。
& B M+ L, H, h投资者应密切关注交易量，因为未能增加交易量可能预示着价格可能回落。
\& Z4 x- c, ` f7 p- y投机还是持续的势头？& `9 w2 x2 q; |% S9 e
XRP最近的价格上涨伴随着未平仓合约的急剧增加，达到约8.3亿美元，这表明市场投机和杠杆率不断上升。7 F O% Y* T$ m; Y* C
从历史上看，未平仓合约的飙升与价格的大幅波动相吻合，但它们也引发了人们对过度杠杆的担忧，这可能会导致波动或回调。8 M! v; p4 H$ o2 n0 s6 a7 X
正资金利率表明存在强烈的看涨倾向，助长了上涨势头，但如果势头放缓，也会增加逆转的风险。
9 d1 t& P5 K% \再加上高NVT比率，这表明投机兴趣可能超过了连锁活动，引发了人们对反弹可持续性的质疑。
: U9 l8 s, g( X0 Z( A. E4 b网络健康0 W9 G; S5 U; g* G! l1 i6 B
据报道，截至发稿时，XRP的24小时交易量为68.1亿美元CoinGecko.
* J% n& k4 e/ e" @- b& V- x虽然这一高数字表明市场活动显著，但也值得在XRP整体网络健康的背景下进行进一步分析。
3 h8 H0 B0 G1 {1 D, k% B交易量的增加可能是市场兴趣和流动性不断增长的迹象，可能会支持XRP的价格上涨。
" W8 x7 \ u2 q然而，当加上高NVT比率和未平仓合约的增加时，这一数字也可能表明投机行为加剧，而不是由网络公用事业驱动的有机增长。7 j2 U5 `& }9 B' O$ u ?" g4 v0 v
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比率飙升的是可以在看好价格啊
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