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11月6日,穆迪投资者服务公司称,对未来12-18个月亚太区博彩业的评级展望为负面。该行业目前包括了澳大利亚、马来西亚和澳门的娱乐城和休闲设施,而澳门以收入和设施来计算是区内最大的博彩休闲中心。
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- x- \2 B: a r# y 穆迪在最新发表的报告中表示,亚太区博彩业的运营压力与日俱增,这种压力亦因公司和国家而异,但主要是由于以下一个或多个因素而导致:宏观经济放缓导致可自由支配的开支减少、监管法规的变化影响、以及个别市场的竞争环境激烈。' e3 N& e% x- P0 Q8 ]# y$ j
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该报告的主要作者、穆迪分析师兼助理副总裁曾启贤表示:"除了这些实时的忧虑外,在不确定的监管、信用和经济环境下,受评级的博彩公司在管理大型收购或资本支出方面亦面临挑战。"
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' Y/ R* Y' a* i: u' r) D% u 曾启贤补充称:"天朝内地日渐收紧对内地旅客的监管限制,加上本地竞争激烈,对一些发行人的利润和现金流造成了压力,因此澳门的博彩业者正面临最严峻的前景。"
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" L/ k; X# ~1 X1 | 他指出,马来西亚的博彩企业面临着其它挑战,"该国以出口为主的经济很容易受到全球经济放缓的影响,而增长进一步放缓会使本地人在当地娱乐城的可自由支配开支蒙受风险。"
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该报告的另一名作者、穆迪副总裁兼高级分析师张健勇表示:"同样地,在澳大利亚,本地经济放缓已使该国博彩业前景变得严峻,因为可支配收入的下降可能会导致人民在娱乐城的开支减少。因此,由于对皇GUAN集团(Crown)实现其财务目标的能力感到忧虑,穆迪近期已将该公司的评级展望修订为负面。"6 I: Z0 R2 @7 w9 j% y3 V
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张健勇留意到,台湾、泰国、越南以及日本博彩业的逐步开放,以及新加坡、菲律宾和印度尼西亚的大型综合娱乐城即将在2010年陆续开幕,均为亚太区带来潜在竞争。
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& c! ^$ G* [8 V' Z2 k ? 但他指出:"穆迪认为这些即将开幕的大型娱乐设施仍未对澳门、澳大利亚或马来西亚发行人带来重大的实时威胁,因为(1) 这些新的博彩设施供应最快要到2010年才投入服务;(2) 澳门的目标客户具有截然不同的人口和地区特点;(3) 澳大利亚和马来西亚的娱乐城主要依赖本地旅客。
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0 ?! x) ]6 v! X s0 g3 s& z( Z: X 尽管如此,张健勇认为这些未来的竞争仍会在不确定的时间增加了博彩业面临的挑战。 |
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