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比特币再次跌破两万 用数据来看看我们离底部有多近
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
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低买高卖是币圈的盈利方针，但是短短四个字却很难有人做到，买不到底，卖不到顶的事时有发生。历史不会重演，但是会惊人的相似，一些统计数据和关键指标也能适当的作为参考。
根据价格跟踪网站 CoinMarketCap 的数据，截至发稿时，比特币的交易价格是20090美元，在过去24小时内下跌了4.40%。事实上，BTC正面临着有史以来第一次收盘低于 200 周移动平均线的危险。本月到目前为止，比特币未能连续第三次收于200 周移动平均线上方。
分析表明，我们很可能处于熊市后期。然而，这种趋势很可能很快就会出现逆转。通过使用 Puell 倍数的变化率，我们能够获得比指标本身更优化的视图。更多资讯微薄团团财经这里详细了解。
导致比特币触底的三个阶段
比特币市场周期的特点是三个周期，其中包括一个市场顶部。
橙色线的中间周期表示普遍欣快的早期阶段。在此之后，市场在红线处达到顶峰。欣欣向荣的牛市区域以高精度突破红线。
在当前阶段，熊市进入和确认沿比特币底部绿线显示。“当指标再次开始上涨时，表明它正在离开熊市区域。我们可以假设我们已经处于看跌周期的末尾，接近完全逆转。我们正处于熊市底部形态。”
从熊市低点反弹是一个可喜的变化，但经济增长放缓、空头尚未投降，让许多人对反弹的持久性持怀疑态度。整体上看，目前加密市场仍然面临两大不确定，一是加密市场内部一些交易平台资不抵债，一是美联储因通胀问题可能进一步激进加息，而激进加息有很大可能导致交易平台暴雷，从而引发加密市场第二次大爆雷。
2011年、2014年和2018年熊市，后面开始长时间底部盘整，然后启动牛市，目前再次跌至平衡线一带，说明BTC可能也已探明底部，如果不出现黑天鹅，后面再出现大幅下杀的概率不是很大了，而是进入区间震荡筑底的概率大，同时下方月线长期支撑线也未破，周线也未破前顶69000下降通道中轨支撑，所以后面还是有望筑底可能，中长线可以考虑逢低布局了。
今天的分享就到这里，后期会给大家带来其他赛道的龙头项目分析。感兴趣的可以点个关注。我也会不定期整理一些前沿资询和项目点评，欢迎各位志同道合的币圈人一起来探索。有问题可以评论提问或者私信，所有资讯平台均为团子财经。 来源：金色财经 |
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