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DB的魅力在于,有赢有输,对于赢家来说,一夜翻身,不要太爽。8 m8 z+ t' g' C4 k
2 P, N0 J% q3 K% A; v就算输一次,还有打缆的方式,不断加倍,保证盈利。1 ^, T6 E1 x! q+ k3 `
" u# ?% Z: @; ]2 o% `6 d
真是富贵在天,生死有命。- }3 f: v; E- U7 ~
6 O" Q: r+ j. k: C0 f7 Y于是我假设赔率1:1,自己推演了一番。
; ~; H6 {' A. b% J6 p& a4 C) R0 k4 W$ X
有一些基本事实:
' n/ L% R, Z( A, N5 n# `( \! o: u3 g: s) e
1,独立性:每次DB都是独立事件,这次赢和下次输完全不相关。
G4 I. ?; i/ b5 A2 s' U! }
+ d+ @+ _( c3 x$ K; e i2,大数定律不适用:抛硬币的次数越多,正面和反面各自出现的次数就越接近。但是要做上千上万次实验才会使其非常接近。
* l2 I5 z. l3 n& K' H; y4 ?5 B7 G) B" P c, E# O- k' J/ q
有一些基本方法:
% T- K- j& T# o: F
3 M q+ U. x4 Z3 j- W1,打缆:输一次加注一次,假设第一次输1000,下次押2000可能盈利1000,再输,下4000保证盈利1000,以此类推。6 O* A1 Y1 B+ L/ ^
# p; G$ E- ]# q3 c( l- I/ M
有一些心理规律:' w& k: c' C4 k1 ]) i# }
- V$ ^; F3 D& y& O2 [" x
(此处假设6次是因为,正规赌场为了保证盈利,只给你6次机会)
' S5 j3 Q* e) [) T; p5 D, j2 ?3 h" v& R) h; U/ c
1,我们可能连续赢钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续赢钱的时候,总觉得下次就要亏了,信心递减,所以很可能不断地减少下注,1000,800,600,400,200,100,总计盈利3100块
4 W" g9 l+ j! d! M U& S7 s+ M$ s
2,我们可能连续输钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续输钱的时候,总觉得下次就要赢了,信心渐增,所以可能不断地加倍的下注,1000,2000,4000,8000,16000,32000,总计亏损63000块
- C! t% O& a4 I% z# z3 V- o6 O$ F9 Z* e) R
(很明显,都是连续6次,概率近乎相等,但盈利或亏损金额却完全不对等;再者,第六次下注32000,只是为了盈利1000块,32000对1000) |
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楼主这样的盈利也是非常让我羡慕啊,到底是怎么做到的 |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟自己的运气太差了。 |
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天天盈利什么也是相当让人眼馋了啊,有空多多共享策略啊 |
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