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[lastpost] => 2802885 比特币从低点反弹7%，但加密货币在美国贸易中仍面临压力。（转） 1770052481 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
5 W7 F3 F" i* f; a( F& d9 O/ ~" V( k$ v$ B; b* J4 ~
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。4 k% a( P; h" K8 z. {+ O
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当7 l' [' N, e. Z3 W/ l5 O" o- e* ~
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天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
9 R$ k" q; u- z
8 Y- W1 R% o* n* X处于健康的看涨状态。) f1 k% s8 S2 z( b. x
2 M( ~( A) T1 m% i
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
' r. a/ Y; Z8 j, M- U& Y* c0 i% t' r7 C# X* \- q7 ^
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
" G% [4 g( [' L9 |
/ h+ f& y8 A0 `7 k获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
( _2 ^5 Z }$ W( C
4 I8 F0 M0 m) f+ @1 k- o, B/ yAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，6 G$ J$ I3 R* g1 ?/ l# i
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Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。$ a& N9 E) e8 d% A0 Y
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
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/ r7 M' n4 W, N; o, y7 f) |低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
1 V, b' U( ^1 N0 p! w; M a& t* M6 _
* o% m+ N& U% u0 ?劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
# G2 _. {+ c- e1 W% ]
9 C. w5 J3 k, e3 p/ W然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF1 V+ {$ K k% A% j' D9 x
0 ?; E: Q$ B) h: I$ H _4 y D5 T申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。/ B' i4 {6 K: ^
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虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
: u j$ f! u, {0 h3 u. b3 m* f- l2 M9 V- d5 u; _
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不+ S5 D$ K3 K8 s* t
# o+ l& z/ t L
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法% J: Q ?+ e) k$ x. U1 O
, ]: Y/ q5 c8 [继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
" K4 h) w7 l6 X8 w0 \: a. |
3 K+ q. m; ~1 r9 M
8 @4 O, Q! u) G0 e! `9 l) S因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的: Z% {8 n# N4 Z- P9 O% x2 w' y$ p
' ^$ \% U: {! C$ z& V+ ]( m
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
7 ?* h0 G( n1 Y) o
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